<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Sterling down &#8211; exports and prices up.</title>
	<atom:link href="http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/</link>
	<description>Incisive and topical campaigns and commentary on today&#039;s issues and tomorrow&#039;s problems</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 09 Feb 2012 20:05:58 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	
	<item>
		<title>By: Tony Makara</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3746</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony Makara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 02:06:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3746</guid>
		<description>As trade deficits worsen with America experiencing its seven biggest trade deficits in the opening few years of this century, it is a sign that the Dollar is now completely finished as the dominant base currency. The inevitable flight into commodities and resulting price hikes are a sign of things to come. We need to find a way to restore faith in fiat money if we are serious about controlling inflation worldwide. 
 
The current floating system leads nations into boom/bust cycles as a contraction of the money supply is needed to keep the cost of imports down. Britains post-war economic problems accelerated after Sterling was floated and continue to this day. If exchange rates were fixed and anchored to one international currency with periodic revaluations for each country in line with economic growth we could gradually bring the smaller economies into line with major economic powers. Such a system could create unprecedented prosperity over time. 
 
National currencies could still exist but foreign currency reserves could be replaced by the world currency. Of course such a system would have to be run by a council of the worlds central bankers so that it doesn&#039;t become hostage to political pressures. If we don&#039;t do this fiat money is finished and with it the ability to create liquid credit and prosperity. 
 
Reply: Fixed exchange rates, large currency blocs and the like would be worse than floating rates, leading to lower output </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As trade deficits worsen with America experiencing its seven biggest trade deficits in the opening few years of this century, it is a sign that the Dollar is now completely finished as the dominant base currency. The inevitable flight into commodities and resulting price hikes are a sign of things to come. We need to find a way to restore faith in fiat money if we are serious about controlling inflation worldwide. </p>
<p>The current floating system leads nations into boom/bust cycles as a contraction of the money supply is needed to keep the cost of imports down. Britains post-war economic problems accelerated after Sterling was floated and continue to this day. If exchange rates were fixed and anchored to one international currency with periodic revaluations for each country in line with economic growth we could gradually bring the smaller economies into line with major economic powers. Such a system could create unprecedented prosperity over time. </p>
<p>National currencies could still exist but foreign currency reserves could be replaced by the world currency. Of course such a system would have to be run by a council of the worlds central bankers so that it doesn&#039;t become hostage to political pressures. If we don&#039;t do this fiat money is finished and with it the ability to create liquid credit and prosperity. </p>
<p>Reply: Fixed exchange rates, large currency blocs and the like would be worse than floating rates, leading to lower output</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Mark Wadsworth</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3745</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark Wadsworth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jun 2008 10:06:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3745</guid>
		<description>All these arguments in favour of or against joining the Euro (or the US $, or even inventing a New World Currency) are all very interesting, but the debate is pointless. 
 
As a simple matter of historical fact and economic logic, there are economies and diseconomies of scale to currency zones; many &#039;smaller&#039; currencies have disappeared and been amalgamated, sterling was for a long time the global currency, since replaced by the US $ (and quite possibly Euro, who knows?), but conversely most currency unions have fallen apart again (for good or bad reasons). If the reverse were true, that there only economies and no diseconomies of scale, then by now the whole world would be using the same currency. 
 
You can look at languages as a form of currency - most minor languages have died out because you are at an advantage speaking a language that is much more widely used. Happily enough, English seems to have been chosen as the language of international trade. But it will be some time before English is the only language spoken, if ever - for the time being, we have a few large &#039;language unions&#039; (English, Chinese, Arabic, Spanish) where the benefits of dropping your language and using a more common one are cancelled out by the short run costs of the switch (as well as cultural resistance). </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>All these arguments in favour of or against joining the Euro (or the US $, or even inventing a New World Currency) are all very interesting, but the debate is pointless. </p>
<p>As a simple matter of historical fact and economic logic, there are economies and diseconomies of scale to currency zones; many &#039;smaller&#039; currencies have disappeared and been amalgamated, sterling was for a long time the global currency, since replaced by the US $ (and quite possibly Euro, who knows?), but conversely most currency unions have fallen apart again (for good or bad reasons). If the reverse were true, that there only economies and no diseconomies of scale, then by now the whole world would be using the same currency. </p>
<p>You can look at languages as a form of currency &#8211; most minor languages have died out because you are at an advantage speaking a language that is much more widely used. Happily enough, English seems to have been chosen as the language of international trade. But it will be some time before English is the only language spoken, if ever &#8211; for the time being, we have a few large &#039;language unions&#039; (English, Chinese, Arabic, Spanish) where the benefits of dropping your language and using a more common one are cancelled out by the short run costs of the switch (as well as cultural resistance).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tony Makara</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3744</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony Makara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Jun 2008 16:29:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3744</guid>
		<description>The problems caused by currency differentials and imported inflation could be resolved by a world currency unit running alongside existing national and regional currencies. Of course this would mean an end to floating currencies and would lock smaller economies into a lower rate of exhange but in the course of time less developed economies could have their rate of exhange upgraded as their economic infrastructure and capacity for production is expanded. 
 
A world currency running alongside national currencies would allow nations to uphold economic sovereignty while at the same time providing stability in international trade. Any hopes that a national currency could act as an international benchmark died a death when the Dollar collapsed in value. Any such new currency would have to be international and established collectively by all major economies around the world. Such a system would restore the credibility of fiat money and stop the damaging flight into commodities, it would also end the destabilizing problem of arbitrage. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problems caused by currency differentials and imported inflation could be resolved by a world currency unit running alongside existing national and regional currencies. Of course this would mean an end to floating currencies and would lock smaller economies into a lower rate of exhange but in the course of time less developed economies could have their rate of exhange upgraded as their economic infrastructure and capacity for production is expanded. </p>
<p>A world currency running alongside national currencies would allow nations to uphold economic sovereignty while at the same time providing stability in international trade. Any hopes that a national currency could act as an international benchmark died a death when the Dollar collapsed in value. Any such new currency would have to be international and established collectively by all major economies around the world. Such a system would restore the credibility of fiat money and stop the damaging flight into commodities, it would also end the destabilizing problem of arbitrage.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Steven_L</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3743</link>
		<dc:creator>Steven_L</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 19:43:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3743</guid>
		<description>... and then the US go and announce massive job losses, the DOW crashes 300 points and all of a sudden the dollar begins out-weakening the pound once more. 
 
A year ago most people I knew thought it was inconceivable that house prices could crash.   Funny how perceptions change. 
 
I wonder how low sterling and the dollar could go before the Euro breaks? 
 
I also think that the emerging economies maintaining these dollar pegs is a major cause of the imbalances. 
 
Reply: Yes, an abrupt change yesterday - even  more important was the amazing $11 rise in the price of a barrel of oil in a single day. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230; and then the US go and announce massive job losses, the DOW crashes 300 points and all of a sudden the dollar begins out-weakening the pound once more. </p>
<p>A year ago most people I knew thought it was inconceivable that house prices could crash.   Funny how perceptions change. </p>
<p>I wonder how low sterling and the dollar could go before the Euro breaks? </p>
<p>I also think that the emerging economies maintaining these dollar pegs is a major cause of the imbalances. </p>
<p>Reply: Yes, an abrupt change yesterday &#8211; even  more important was the amazing $11 rise in the price of a barrel of oil in a single day.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: William B.</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3742</link>
		<dc:creator>William B.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 17:35:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3742</guid>
		<description>The experience of countries within the Eurozone illustrates three points which are relevant to the debate about the expansion of the EU&#039;s powers. 
 
First, it goes without saying that the larger the geographical area covered by a single policy (be it social or economic) the greater the chance that the policy will not be effective for all.  What will always happen is either: (i) the more powerful countries will insist on a policy to their benefit whereas the smaller and weaker will be disadvantaged or (ii) a compromise will be adopted which will not suit anyone. 
 
Secondly, the mechanism for effecting a change in policy is inevitably cumbersome where discussion has to involve numerous national representatives. 
 
Thirdly, the distance between the people and the decision means that practical pressures which help to form acceptable policies in the UK are ineffective.  We have seen numerous examples recently of the UK government introducing poorly thought-out policy initiatives which they have been forced to abandon or vary at short notice through the pressure public opinion has exerted.  We should, in my opinion, never underestimate the importance of by-elections, the press and such debates as those held on Question Time on BBC1.  They all keep our politicians in touch with the mood of the country. 
 
It might be that a decision taken at EU level would be better than one taken in the UK but at least the UK government knows that its very existence depends on its decisions.  It might be that our government ministers are intellectual pygmies compared to the EU boffins, but they are our pygmies and the closer they are to us the greater the chance that government will continue to be by consent and not by diktat. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The experience of countries within the Eurozone illustrates three points which are relevant to the debate about the expansion of the EU&#039;s powers. </p>
<p>First, it goes without saying that the larger the geographical area covered by a single policy (be it social or economic) the greater the chance that the policy will not be effective for all.  What will always happen is either: (i) the more powerful countries will insist on a policy to their benefit whereas the smaller and weaker will be disadvantaged or (ii) a compromise will be adopted which will not suit anyone. </p>
<p>Secondly, the mechanism for effecting a change in policy is inevitably cumbersome where discussion has to involve numerous national representatives. </p>
<p>Thirdly, the distance between the people and the decision means that practical pressures which help to form acceptable policies in the UK are ineffective.  We have seen numerous examples recently of the UK government introducing poorly thought-out policy initiatives which they have been forced to abandon or vary at short notice through the pressure public opinion has exerted.  We should, in my opinion, never underestimate the importance of by-elections, the press and such debates as those held on Question Time on BBC1.  They all keep our politicians in touch with the mood of the country. </p>
<p>It might be that a decision taken at EU level would be better than one taken in the UK but at least the UK government knows that its very existence depends on its decisions.  It might be that our government ministers are intellectual pygmies compared to the EU boffins, but they are our pygmies and the closer they are to us the greater the chance that government will continue to be by consent and not by diktat.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: mikestallard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3741</link>
		<dc:creator>mikestallard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 17:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3741</guid>
		<description>Your economic analysis is, as ever, truthful and I, for one, thank you for putting it so clearly. 
I was on the dole in 1992-3. It was not fun. Most of the people on it with me were nice, innocent sort of people who had crashed a business, been laid off or who were at the tail end of a profession - there were,for instance, several young lawyers from universities. Please do not let us go through all that again. 
Why don&#039;t we actually stick to our own people who speak our language and who think like we do? I refer to the Australians, the New Zealanders, the Canadians and, yes, the USA. this is one of those mysteries which completely escapes me. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your economic analysis is, as ever, truthful and I, for one, thank you for putting it so clearly.<br />
I was on the dole in 1992-3. It was not fun. Most of the people on it with me were nice, innocent sort of people who had crashed a business, been laid off or who were at the tail end of a profession &#8211; there were,for instance, several young lawyers from universities. Please do not let us go through all that again.<br />
Why don&#039;t we actually stick to our own people who speak our language and who think like we do? I refer to the Australians, the New Zealanders, the Canadians and, yes, the USA. this is one of those mysteries which completely escapes me.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Freeborn John</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3740</link>
		<dc:creator>Freeborn John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 17:25:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3740</guid>
		<description>It is an interesting point that the US dollar is never mentioned as a possible single currency for the UK. The reason of course is that champions of the Euro are motivated by a desire to see greater involvement in the political EU project. However in the technology industry we do only use one currency and it is the US dollar. You cannot buy our products direct in Paris, Berlin or Timbuktu in any other currency. All internal budgets are in dollars. All negotiations with external partners or customers in the UK, throughout Europe and beyond never even mention any currency unit at all because it is automatically assumed that everyone is talking about dollars. 
 
Of course this is a convenience when working with large companies. The practical issue you raise for the Euro as a retail currency would be equally applicable to the use of the US$ should that be the currency in people&#226;&#8364;&#8482;s pockets. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is an interesting point that the US dollar is never mentioned as a possible single currency for the UK. The reason of course is that champions of the Euro are motivated by a desire to see greater involvement in the political EU project. However in the technology industry we do only use one currency and it is the US dollar. You cannot buy our products direct in Paris, Berlin or Timbuktu in any other currency. All internal budgets are in dollars. All negotiations with external partners or customers in the UK, throughout Europe and beyond never even mention any currency unit at all because it is automatically assumed that everyone is talking about dollars. </p>
<p>Of course this is a convenience when working with large companies. The practical issue you raise for the Euro as a retail currency would be equally applicable to the use of the US$ should that be the currency in people&acirc;&euro;&trade;s pockets.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Adrian Peirson</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3739</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrian Peirson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 14:54:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3739</guid>
		<description>More Unbacked Fiat Money that our Govt can Borrow into existance at will leaving us the Taxpayer to Pay it back to the Lender ( The Global Elite Banks ) Plus Interest. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More Unbacked Fiat Money that our Govt can Borrow into existance at will leaving us the Taxpayer to Pay it back to the Lender ( The Global Elite Banks ) Plus Interest.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: NickL</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/06/06/sterling-down-exports-and-prices-up/#comment-3738</link>
		<dc:creator>NickL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 12:49:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1113#comment-3738</guid>
		<description>John - to the point as always. 
The dive in Sterling started with the Northern Rock debacle, reflecting the resulting loss in confidence in British economic management - what might be seen as the blinkers being pulled off  the markets&#039; eyes. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John &#8211; to the point as always.<br />
The dive in Sterling started with the Northern Rock debacle, reflecting the resulting loss in confidence in British economic management &#8211; what might be seen as the blinkers being pulled off  the markets&#039; eyes.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

