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	<title>Comments on: Recession ahoy?</title>
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	<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/</link>
	<description>Incisive and topical campaigns and commentary on today&#039;s issues and tomorrow&#039;s problems</description>
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		<title>By: PT</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4528</link>
		<dc:creator>PT</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jul 2008 14:56:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4528</guid>
		<description>&quot;Doom monger after doom monger on al-beeb gleefully telling people how bad it is getting and how it will get worse. 
Again, if you were thinking about buying a house, would you? after all the doom mongers are saying prices will drop by a further twenty percent over the next year or so which means, if you buy a &#194;&#163;300000 house today it will be only worth &#194;&#163;240000 in a year or so&quot; 
 
What a crock of sh*t. You think buyers are feeling doom and gloom at the prospect of buying a house for &#194;&#163;60,000 less? 
 
And is the opposite of &#039;doom monger&#039; an &#039;optimist&#039;? Therefore a person in your warped little world hoping for a rise in the cost of living - in this instance housing - is optimistic. I guess this makes those hoping for cheap oil and food doom mongers in your backward thinking mind. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&quot;Doom monger after doom monger on al-beeb gleefully telling people how bad it is getting and how it will get worse.<br />
Again, if you were thinking about buying a house, would you? after all the doom mongers are saying prices will drop by a further twenty percent over the next year or so which means, if you buy a &Acirc;&pound;300000 house today it will be only worth &Acirc;&pound;240000 in a year or so&quot; </p>
<p>What a crock of sh*t. You think buyers are feeling doom and gloom at the prospect of buying a house for &Acirc;&pound;60,000 less? </p>
<p>And is the opposite of &#039;doom monger&#039; an &#039;optimist&#039;? Therefore a person in your warped little world hoping for a rise in the cost of living &#8211; in this instance housing &#8211; is optimistic. I guess this makes those hoping for cheap oil and food doom mongers in your backward thinking mind.</p>
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		<title>By: mikestallard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4527</link>
		<dc:creator>mikestallard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jul 2008 17:39:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4527</guid>
		<description>Taxation is excessive. 
That is why my son in law (in the oil business) is moving to Saudi. 
Here is what he is haggling over: 
1. Free Independent Schooling for his two children. 
2. A Health package for his family. 
3. A house in the non Muslim Quarter. 
4. A Company Car. 
 
On top of all this - which he can only dream about in Brown&#039;s Britain - he will live in a virtually tax free country. 
So what have we got that he won&#039;t have? Why can other countries do this when we cannot? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Taxation is excessive.<br />
That is why my son in law (in the oil business) is moving to Saudi.<br />
Here is what he is haggling over:<br />
1. Free Independent Schooling for his two children.<br />
2. A Health package for his family.<br />
3. A house in the non Muslim Quarter.<br />
4. A Company Car. </p>
<p>On top of all this &#8211; which he can only dream about in Brown&#039;s Britain &#8211; he will live in a virtually tax free country.<br />
So what have we got that he won&#039;t have? Why can other countries do this when we cannot?</p>
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		<title>By: Derek</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4526</link>
		<dc:creator>Derek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jul 2008 00:03:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4526</guid>
		<description>Believe me, High St spending has not just slowed, it has almost completely stalled. This financial tsunami will rip through the economy. There&#039;s currently a semantics argument about when we&#039;re in a recession, we will experience a quite severe recession at least. Much is made about &#039;let&#039;s be careful not to talk ourselves into a recession&#039;. It is, in my opinion, nonsense. What we&#039;re experiencing could never be talked into, or out of, it is the inevitable result of extensive egregious decision making within large financial institutions. Too much money chased too few genuinely good business investments and the money, desperate for ever higher returns, subsequently got poured into worthless dross. The writedowns to come will dwarf what has gone so far. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Believe me, High St spending has not just slowed, it has almost completely stalled. This financial tsunami will rip through the economy. There&#039;s currently a semantics argument about when we&#039;re in a recession, we will experience a quite severe recession at least. Much is made about &#039;let&#039;s be careful not to talk ourselves into a recession&#039;. It is, in my opinion, nonsense. What we&#039;re experiencing could never be talked into, or out of, it is the inevitable result of extensive egregious decision making within large financial institutions. Too much money chased too few genuinely good business investments and the money, desperate for ever higher returns, subsequently got poured into worthless dross. The writedowns to come will dwarf what has gone so far.</p>
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		<title>By: Freeborn John</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4525</link>
		<dc:creator>Freeborn John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 22:41:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4525</guid>
		<description>My US company is working on the assumption that the slowdown in the US will be restricted to specific sectors, notably finance and construction, and will be behind us by the end of the year. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My US company is working on the assumption that the slowdown in the US will be restricted to specific sectors, notably finance and construction, and will be behind us by the end of the year.</p>
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		<title>By: ANDREW BULL</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4524</link>
		<dc:creator>ANDREW BULL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 21:53:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4524</guid>
		<description>John, I am glad to see that you advocate using the downturn to implement big projects in transport and ther infrastructure projects. This will help keep people employed and compaies viable during a period of higher unemployment and lower profits. Keeping people employed and less directly dependant on the state is very important. Failure to do this in the early years of the Thatcher government was a very big mistake, one for which our society is still paying in terms of people now being to quick to rely on the state for their well being. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John, I am glad to see that you advocate using the downturn to implement big projects in transport and ther infrastructure projects. This will help keep people employed and compaies viable during a period of higher unemployment and lower profits. Keeping people employed and less directly dependant on the state is very important. Failure to do this in the early years of the Thatcher government was a very big mistake, one for which our society is still paying in terms of people now being to quick to rely on the state for their well being.</p>
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		<title>By: Puncheon</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4523</link>
		<dc:creator>Puncheon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 19:50:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4523</guid>
		<description>John - I completely agree with you about the opportunity for state funded infrastructure projects.  I would not mind at all  paying the extra petrol tax if I knew it was going on big transport projects - something that has been neglected for years.  We desperately need a modern national road and rail network, particularly east/west. Also, we should be commssioning and building nuclear power stations to provide secure base load generating capacity for the future.  I agree that nuclear is uneconomic, just like wind -power, but unlike the latter it provides constant, secure base load generation.  The problem is how do we have state funding without state interference in the projects - PFI is clearly not the answer.  A question for you: how would you manage this if you were in charge? 
 
Reply: I have in mind private finance - toll funded new roads and power paid for by customers. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John &#8211; I completely agree with you about the opportunity for state funded infrastructure projects.  I would not mind at all  paying the extra petrol tax if I knew it was going on big transport projects &#8211; something that has been neglected for years.  We desperately need a modern national road and rail network, particularly east/west. Also, we should be commssioning and building nuclear power stations to provide secure base load generating capacity for the future.  I agree that nuclear is uneconomic, just like wind -power, but unlike the latter it provides constant, secure base load generation.  The problem is how do we have state funding without state interference in the projects &#8211; PFI is clearly not the answer.  A question for you: how would you manage this if you were in charge? </p>
<p>Reply: I have in mind private finance &#8211; toll funded new roads and power paid for by customers.</p>
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		<title>By: David morris</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4522</link>
		<dc:creator>David morris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 19:21:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4522</guid>
		<description>Never fear.  Britain is best placed of all the countries in the Western World to ride out this temporary global problem.  I just heard the PM say this on his Broadcasting Company, so it must be true. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Never fear.  Britain is best placed of all the countries in the Western World to ride out this temporary global problem.  I just heard the PM say this on his Broadcasting Company, so it must be true.</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4521</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 18:38:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4521</guid>
		<description>My son who works for a multi-national came home last night with a letter from the CEO stating there would be redundancies, shifts cancelled, factories mothballed as they expected the sharp downturn to last at least 18 months. The main developer at the nearby  proposed eco-town at Marston Vale has pulled out today. 
Local  Post Office closures also announced today. 
Local transport company, trading for years, just gone into liquidation. 
Not looking good at all. 
And all Gordon does is tell us not to waste food. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My son who works for a multi-national came home last night with a letter from the CEO stating there would be redundancies, shifts cancelled, factories mothballed as they expected the sharp downturn to last at least 18 months. The main developer at the nearby  proposed eco-town at Marston Vale has pulled out today.<br />
Local  Post Office closures also announced today.<br />
Local transport company, trading for years, just gone into liquidation.<br />
Not looking good at all.<br />
And all Gordon does is tell us not to waste food.</p>
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		<title>By: William B.</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4520</link>
		<dc:creator>William B.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 18:25:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4520</guid>
		<description>When the excrement of wasteful government hits the fan of real people&#039;s pockets it makes little difference whether the result is a slow-down to tiny growth or to negative growth.  It&#039;s still the little people who are hit hardest.  If you use a baseball bat to break my right tibia it adds little additional pain when you then break my right fibula as well. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When the excrement of wasteful government hits the fan of real people&#039;s pockets it makes little difference whether the result is a slow-down to tiny growth or to negative growth.  It&#039;s still the little people who are hit hardest.  If you use a baseball bat to break my right tibia it adds little additional pain when you then break my right fibula as well.</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Reynolds</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/07/08/recession-ahoy/#comment-4529</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Reynolds</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 17:37:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1171#comment-4529</guid>
		<description>Cutting  public spending to halve the PSBR in three years &amp; by 75% in four years would be sound . QUANGO&#039;s , consultants , civil servants and procurement all cost the taxpayer far too much money . To start with money from spending cuts could fund reducing coporate tax to one 20% rate and then on paying off some of the extra public debt caused by Gordon Brown&#039;s politically motivated client state . Lower business tax would stimulate productivity , job creation etc and smaller government would be a pro-growth way forward . Eire proves that such policies work given time . QUANGO&#039;s can be axed or merged or hived off while double the number of civil servants can be axed than Gershon suggests while consultants cost to the taxpayers needs cutting in half as they are a pointless expense that does nothing to improve schools , hospitals , transport or to reduce crime . Procurement costs need cutting with a greater use of market forces thus ensuring a sounder distribution of economic resources . JSA &amp; IB can be replaced by one sort of payment designed to slash economic inactivity while Housing Benefit &amp; Council Tax Benefit need an overhaul to deter long-term unemployment and to ensure that these payments do not cause the working poor the kind of poverty trap that they do under Labour . This would reduce unemployment by tackling welfare dependency and lower corporate tax &amp; smaller government would boost growth and thus supply the necessary jobs . Once the PSBR has been wiped out the basic personal allowance could be raised to say Â£14,000 p/a for all taxpayers ( better than a low personal allowance &amp; complex Age Related Allowances ) to ensure that no one loses out from the end of poverty creating tax credits that diminish the more one earns . My ideas on fighting inflation by giving the Bank of England greater powers , a better inflation target and more independence ( see previous responses ) would stop the price spiral . Public spending growth could be cut to such a level so that we can get 20% corporate tax &amp; a balanced budget within five years . It is high public spending &amp; borrowing that explains the fact that the UK will suffer more from the global problems as does our feeble monetary policy / financial regulatory framework . We as a Party cannot attack Labour and then pledge to offer more of the same and promising lower inflation , cuts in public borrowing , faster GDP growth and a reduction in unemployment by offering costed policies might be good . We should also allow small &amp; medium sized firms to opt out of as many rules as possible to help achieve those objectives .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cutting  public spending to halve the PSBR in three years &amp; by 75% in four years would be sound . QUANGO&#8217;s , consultants , civil servants and procurement all cost the taxpayer far too much money . To start with money from spending cuts could fund reducing coporate tax to one 20% rate and then on paying off some of the extra public debt caused by Gordon Brown&#8217;s politically motivated client state . Lower business tax would stimulate productivity , job creation etc and smaller government would be a pro-growth way forward . Eire proves that such policies work given time . QUANGO&#8217;s can be axed or merged or hived off while double the number of civil servants can be axed than Gershon suggests while consultants cost to the taxpayers needs cutting in half as they are a pointless expense that does nothing to improve schools , hospitals , transport or to reduce crime . Procurement costs need cutting with a greater use of market forces thus ensuring a sounder distribution of economic resources . JSA &amp; IB can be replaced by one sort of payment designed to slash economic inactivity while Housing Benefit &amp; Council Tax Benefit need an overhaul to deter long-term unemployment and to ensure that these payments do not cause the working poor the kind of poverty trap that they do under Labour . This would reduce unemployment by tackling welfare dependency and lower corporate tax &amp; smaller government would boost growth and thus supply the necessary jobs . Once the PSBR has been wiped out the basic personal allowance could be raised to say Â£14,000 p/a for all taxpayers ( better than a low personal allowance &amp; complex Age Related Allowances ) to ensure that no one loses out from the end of poverty creating tax credits that diminish the more one earns . My ideas on fighting inflation by giving the Bank of England greater powers , a better inflation target and more independence ( see previous responses ) would stop the price spiral . Public spending growth could be cut to such a level so that we can get 20% corporate tax &amp; a balanced budget within five years . It is high public spending &amp; borrowing that explains the fact that the UK will suffer more from the global problems as does our feeble monetary policy / financial regulatory framework . We as a Party cannot attack Labour and then pledge to offer more of the same and promising lower inflation , cuts in public borrowing , faster GDP growth and a reduction in unemployment by offering costed policies might be good . We should also allow small &amp; medium sized firms to opt out of as many rules as possible to help achieve those objectives .</p>
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