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	<title>Comments on: Common responses to the crisis</title>
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	<description>Incisive and topical campaigns and commentary on today&#039;s issues and tomorrow&#039;s problems</description>
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		<title>By: rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6963</link>
		<dc:creator>rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 12:21:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6963</guid>
		<description>Okay Mr Redwood, I asked what I thought was a perfectly good question, you gave a perfectly good reply, and I went away and watched Newsnight last night and was dumfounded by the number of zero&#039;s on the back of that capital figure to fit my query. 
 
You&#039;re answer is clear and understood and I thank you for pointing me in the right direction to see how utterly ludicrous it was of me to suggest it as in hindsight it appears there is more debt wrapped up in those instrument bundles than the entire globe could pay back in little shorter than the next 100 years. 
 
My God ! 
Who actually owns the &quot;real assets&quot; for this or is that another stupid question as my hunch is that much of it is &#039;imaginary&#039; ? 
 
P.S. I didn&#039;t try to write a note of the trillions out there as I don&#039;t have a big enough piece of paper. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Okay Mr Redwood, I asked what I thought was a perfectly good question, you gave a perfectly good reply, and I went away and watched Newsnight last night and was dumfounded by the number of zero&#039;s on the back of that capital figure to fit my query. </p>
<p>You&#039;re answer is clear and understood and I thank you for pointing me in the right direction to see how utterly ludicrous it was of me to suggest it as in hindsight it appears there is more debt wrapped up in those instrument bundles than the entire globe could pay back in little shorter than the next 100 years. </p>
<p>My God !<br />
Who actually owns the &quot;real assets&quot; for this or is that another stupid question as my hunch is that much of it is &#039;imaginary&#039; ? </p>
<p>P.S. I didn&#039;t try to write a note of the trillions out there as I don&#039;t have a big enough piece of paper. </p>
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		<title>By: Adrian Peirson</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6962</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrian Peirson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 15:45:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6962</guid>
		<description>Banks operate a system called Fractional Reserve Banking. 
IE  they lend out 10 times more money than they actyually hold on reserve. 
This si why, when confidence falls, and everybody rushed back to withdraw their money the scam has to be hidden. 
there is no way Banks can give depositors their money back because they have lent it out to TEN other people. 
this is why govt and Banks do whatever it takes to stop a run on the Banks, so the sheeple will not realise what is actually goin on. 
Not only that, but these loans and credit, based on assets that banks simply do not have are issues at interest, essentially we pay interest on thin air. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Banks operate a system called Fractional Reserve Banking.<br />
IE  they lend out 10 times more money than they actyually hold on reserve.<br />
This si why, when confidence falls, and everybody rushed back to withdraw their money the scam has to be hidden.<br />
there is no way Banks can give depositors their money back because they have lent it out to TEN other people.<br />
this is why govt and Banks do whatever it takes to stop a run on the Banks, so the sheeple will not realise what is actually goin on.<br />
Not only that, but these loans and credit, based on assets that banks simply do not have are issues at interest, essentially we pay interest on thin air. </p>
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		<title>By: votetheday.com</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6961</link>
		<dc:creator>votetheday.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 13:58:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6961</guid>
		<description>Global crisis is not only about companies of financial services. It is about common people as well. The ones with loans, credits, mortgages. The ones with jobs to preserve, houses to retain, families to maintain, relatives to support, children to send to colleges. The ones with budgets, where every cent has its destination. How many of the people lose jobs, cars, homes? How many have to cut out the spendings, which they considered a normal part of their lives? - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.votetheday.com/finance-26/are-you-feeling-the-effects-of-the-financial-crisis-311&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.votetheday.com/finance-26/are-you-feel...&lt;/a&gt; </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Global crisis is not only about companies of financial services. It is about common people as well. The ones with loans, credits, mortgages. The ones with jobs to preserve, houses to retain, families to maintain, relatives to support, children to send to colleges. The ones with budgets, where every cent has its destination. How many of the people lose jobs, cars, homes? How many have to cut out the spendings, which they considered a normal part of their lives? &#8211; <a href="http://www.votetheday.com/finance-26/are-you-feeling-the-effects-of-the-financial-crisis-311" rel="nofollow"></a><a href="http://www.votetheday.com/finance-26/are-you-feel" rel="nofollow">http://www.votetheday.com/finance-26/are-you-feel</a>&#8230; </p>
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		<title>By: Rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6960</link>
		<dc:creator>Rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 11:19:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6960</guid>
		<description>By the issuance of non-marketable securities such as government bonds. i.e. national debt as is the case now but only it&#039;s happening on an ad hoc basis. The levy placed against the banking industry would be picking up the cost of the debt rather than the taxpayer but the debt would be diminishing gradually like a mortgage paid to the taxpayer. 
 
If the levy calculated a profitable return to the taxpayer ( like a mortgage lender ), then everyone would win and the banks and the markets would be free to operate again. Home values and the markets would stabalise, jobs would stabalise and the economy could go on much as it did before but with some constraints which would be laid down by IMF conditionalities as is the case now. 
 
I also feel, given this injection of confidence to the system, that the assets we describe currently as &#039;toxic&#039;, may actually turn out to be good assets again and would likely be redeemed far quicker than 20 years if banks were trading again normally ? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By the issuance of non-marketable securities such as government bonds. i.e. national debt as is the case now but only it&#039;s happening on an ad hoc basis. The levy placed against the banking industry would be picking up the cost of the debt rather than the taxpayer but the debt would be diminishing gradually like a mortgage paid to the taxpayer. </p>
<p>If the levy calculated a profitable return to the taxpayer ( like a mortgage lender ), then everyone would win and the banks and the markets would be free to operate again. Home values and the markets would stabalise, jobs would stabalise and the economy could go on much as it did before but with some constraints which would be laid down by IMF conditionalities as is the case now. </p>
<p>I also feel, given this injection of confidence to the system, that the assets we describe currently as &#039;toxic&#039;, may actually turn out to be good assets again and would likely be redeemed far quicker than 20 years if banks were trading again normally ? </p>
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		<title>By: APL</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6959</link>
		<dc:creator>APL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2008 12:48:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6959</guid>
		<description>JR: &quot;In this crisis we are all going to be hit. Savers can only enjoy high rates of interest if people and companies can afford to pay even higher rates of interest to borrow the money.&quot; 
 
A good point. But I also agree with Pete Chown, inflation has since the end of the war been an instrument of government policy. 
 
It discourages saving, which if coupled with tax on interest paid, it is a wonder anyone bothers to save at all. 
 
Oh! in the UK we have the lowest savings rate ever. So government policy has arrived at it&#039;s logical conclusion. 
 
Lowest personal savings coupled with what appears to be the mother of all financial crisis. And now Gordon Brown has crippled the UK balance sheet. 
 
Pete Chown: &quot;Finally, it&#8217;s worth noting that I could transfer my own modest savings into gold ..&quot; 
 
How long before the government re-imposes tax on gold purchases? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JR: &quot;In this crisis we are all going to be hit. Savers can only enjoy high rates of interest if people and companies can afford to pay even higher rates of interest to borrow the money.&quot; </p>
<p>A good point. But I also agree with Pete Chown, inflation has since the end of the war been an instrument of government policy. </p>
<p>It discourages saving, which if coupled with tax on interest paid, it is a wonder anyone bothers to save at all. </p>
<p>Oh! in the UK we have the lowest savings rate ever. So government policy has arrived at it&#039;s logical conclusion. </p>
<p>Lowest personal savings coupled with what appears to be the mother of all financial crisis. And now Gordon Brown has crippled the UK balance sheet. </p>
<p>Pete Chown: &quot;Finally, it&rsquo;s worth noting that I could transfer my own modest savings into gold ..&quot; </p>
<p>How long before the government re-imposes tax on gold purchases? </p>
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		<title>By: Rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6958</link>
		<dc:creator>Rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2008 12:01:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6958</guid>
		<description>Given this piece yesterday in the Financial Times by Damian Reece :- 
 
Quote: 
 
&quot;This is the price we&#8217;re paying for creating the illusion of wealth when in fact we were creating nothing more than a huge pile of debt. We&#8217;ve borrowed to buy houses; we&#8217;ve borrowed to buy cars, clothes and every other consumable conceived by man. 
Banks, such as Lehman, were so keen that no one in the great new debt democracy should be left out that they started borrowing from each other. They used that debt to create sub prime loans and turned these riskiest of debts into apparently safe investments. 
 
They traded these back and forth amongst themselves, even finding insurance for them in murky derivatives few people understand, called credit default swaps. 
 
Many of the world&#8217;s biggest banks from Iceland to Japan now find themselves caught in this toxic mesh where they no longer know who&#8217;s holding what and who can repay, so they&#8217;ve turned the taps off and are hoarding cash. 
 
In this environment confidence evaporates, banks can&#8217;t meet their short term liabilities so go bust and companies can&#8217;t raise credit, even for cash to pay the wage bill, and recession very quickly ensues. Faced with these prospects, investor sentiment collapses bringing down the price of shares with it. Panic selling was stoked even more yesterday by a fear over who&#8217;s been left holding Lehman&#8217;s liabilities&quot;.............. continues.... 
  &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/3174865/Financial-crisis-The-decade-of-debt-is-coming-to-a-bloody-end.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/...&lt;/a&gt; 
 
It seems to me that liquidity within the banking system could be restored if a global bank such as the IMF just took over the toxic assets. Surely this would allow banks to pass them on to restore their capital assets and could be a way to give confidence back to the markets along with promoting lending between banks again? 
 
If there was any diferential in the value of those assets then any loss could be offset by placing a levy on banking industry profits as a whole over a realistic period through what would in essence be a loan of the real loss but spread over a period which didn&#039;t harm capability to trade ? 
 
Rather, it would allow banks to trade openly with confidence and place sums aside from profits in order to wash toxicity out of our system in a way it had less immediate impact on people, their homes and their economies ? 
 
Would there be a problem with this Mr Redwood ? 
 
Reply: The problem is, where would the IMF get so much capital from to do this? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given this piece yesterday in the Financial Times by Damian Reece :- </p>
<p>Quote: </p>
<p>&quot;This is the price we&rsquo;re paying for creating the illusion of wealth when in fact we were creating nothing more than a huge pile of debt. We&rsquo;ve borrowed to buy houses; we&rsquo;ve borrowed to buy cars, clothes and every other consumable conceived by man.<br />
Banks, such as Lehman, were so keen that no one in the great new debt democracy should be left out that they started borrowing from each other. They used that debt to create sub prime loans and turned these riskiest of debts into apparently safe investments. </p>
<p>They traded these back and forth amongst themselves, even finding insurance for them in murky derivatives few people understand, called credit default swaps. </p>
<p>Many of the world&rsquo;s biggest banks from Iceland to Japan now find themselves caught in this toxic mesh where they no longer know who&rsquo;s holding what and who can repay, so they&rsquo;ve turned the taps off and are hoarding cash. </p>
<p>In this environment confidence evaporates, banks can&rsquo;t meet their short term liabilities so go bust and companies can&rsquo;t raise credit, even for cash to pay the wage bill, and recession very quickly ensues. Faced with these prospects, investor sentiment collapses bringing down the price of shares with it. Panic selling was stoked even more yesterday by a fear over who&rsquo;s been left holding Lehman&rsquo;s liabilities&quot;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.. continues&#8230;.<br />
  <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/3174865/Financial-crisis-The-decade-of-debt-is-coming-to-a-bloody-end.html" rel="nofollow"></a><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/" rel="nofollow">http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/</a>&#8230; </p>
<p>It seems to me that liquidity within the banking system could be restored if a global bank such as the IMF just took over the toxic assets. Surely this would allow banks to pass them on to restore their capital assets and could be a way to give confidence back to the markets along with promoting lending between banks again? </p>
<p>If there was any diferential in the value of those assets then any loss could be offset by placing a levy on banking industry profits as a whole over a realistic period through what would in essence be a loan of the real loss but spread over a period which didn&#039;t harm capability to trade ? </p>
<p>Rather, it would allow banks to trade openly with confidence and place sums aside from profits in order to wash toxicity out of our system in a way it had less immediate impact on people, their homes and their economies ? </p>
<p>Would there be a problem with this Mr Redwood ? </p>
<p>Reply: The problem is, where would the IMF get so much capital from to do this? </p>
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		<title>By: Puncheon</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6957</link>
		<dc:creator>Puncheon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2008 11:29:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6957</guid>
		<description>Matthew - I agree.  This has worried me for some time.  Given the shift from direct to indirect taxation in recent years and the fact that tis hits the poorest hardest, the lowest earnets must be taken out of the direct tax bracket.  The argument that they will thereby not be contributing to society no longer hold good.  For those on or near minimum wage paying income tax is simply cruelty.  The Conservatives should make this a priority area in the next election. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matthew &#8211; I agree.  This has worried me for some time.  Given the shift from direct to indirect taxation in recent years and the fact that tis hits the poorest hardest, the lowest earnets must be taken out of the direct tax bracket.  The argument that they will thereby not be contributing to society no longer hold good.  For those on or near minimum wage paying income tax is simply cruelty.  The Conservatives should make this a priority area in the next election. </p>
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		<title>By: Pete Chown</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6956</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete Chown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2008 10:44:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6956</guid>
		<description>&quot;It&#039;s not fair of you to call for lower interest rates - this means savers will be hit&quot; 
 
Up to a point I agree with you.  The aim of monetary policy should be stable prices (of consumer goods and of assets such as housing).  It should not aim to give a fixed return to savers.  It might be that savers&#039; returns will even be negative at times. 
 
What the government may be tempted to do, though, is inflate its way out of the crisis.  If the economy is mired in debt, why not make the debt smaller with a bit of inflation?  That is where it gets unfair: the government is simply transferring resources from savers to borrowers, in effect taxing the prudent to bail out the profligate.  Many savers are pensioners who have put money by for their old age.  Are we really reduced to bailing out the City with the savings of the nation&#039;s pensioners? 
 
We should also consider that inflation discourages saving.  By world standards, Britain has a very low savings rate.  Is that left over from the days of 20% inflation, when saving must have been pretty pointless? 
 
Finally, it&#039;s worth noting that I could transfer my own modest savings into gold with a few mouse clicks, and I&#039;m not on my own.  If the government thinks a run on the banks is bad, try a run on the currency, as the country&#039;s savers look for something safer. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&quot;It&#039;s not fair of you to call for lower interest rates &#8211; this means savers will be hit&quot; </p>
<p>Up to a point I agree with you.  The aim of monetary policy should be stable prices (of consumer goods and of assets such as housing).  It should not aim to give a fixed return to savers.  It might be that savers&#039; returns will even be negative at times. </p>
<p>What the government may be tempted to do, though, is inflate its way out of the crisis.  If the economy is mired in debt, why not make the debt smaller with a bit of inflation?  That is where it gets unfair: the government is simply transferring resources from savers to borrowers, in effect taxing the prudent to bail out the profligate.  Many savers are pensioners who have put money by for their old age.  Are we really reduced to bailing out the City with the savings of the nation&#039;s pensioners? </p>
<p>We should also consider that inflation discourages saving.  By world standards, Britain has a very low savings rate.  Is that left over from the days of 20% inflation, when saving must have been pretty pointless? </p>
<p>Finally, it&#039;s worth noting that I could transfer my own modest savings into gold with a few mouse clicks, and I&#039;m not on my own.  If the government thinks a run on the banks is bad, try a run on the currency, as the country&#039;s savers look for something safer. </p>
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		<title>By: londonerr</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6955</link>
		<dc:creator>londonerr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2008 00:10:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6955</guid>
		<description>John, I appreciate your analysis in these confusing times. 
 
I find 2 things worry me. The story about bonuses is a red herring. If we don&#039;t pay bonuses our brightest will go to those who will pay them. I feel that some people&#039;s anger is being focused in this direction - wrongly in my opinion. 
 
Second, like Man In A Shed I am concerned that the Conservative story isn&#039;t getting coverage. Thus allowing stories about bonuses and this govt&#039;s analysis and approach to intervention to prevail. 
Reply: The media refuse to run my approach to the crisis - they just want me in their story as a &quot;deregulator&quot;, refusing to accept I was calling long before the crash for proper banking control from the Bank of England. I just shows the power of Labour spin control again. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John, I appreciate your analysis in these confusing times. </p>
<p>I find 2 things worry me. The story about bonuses is a red herring. If we don&#039;t pay bonuses our brightest will go to those who will pay them. I feel that some people&#039;s anger is being focused in this direction &#8211; wrongly in my opinion. </p>
<p>Second, like Man In A Shed I am concerned that the Conservative story isn&#039;t getting coverage. Thus allowing stories about bonuses and this govt&#039;s analysis and approach to intervention to prevail.<br />
Reply: The media refuse to run my approach to the crisis &#8211; they just want me in their story as a &quot;deregulator&quot;, refusing to accept I was calling long before the crash for proper banking control from the Bank of England. I just shows the power of Labour spin control again. </p>
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		<title>By: Matthew</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/10/11/common-responses-to-the-crisis/#comment-6954</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Oct 2008 21:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=1770#comment-6954</guid>
		<description>One issue that needs to be raised is in your last sentence &#039;we did not enjoy the bumper years of banking profits and bonuses&#039;. Well we did a bit, thanks to the higher rate of income tax. I&#039;m pretty sure most commenters here would like to scrap it, but I would suggest it has served a useful purpose. 
 
On the other hand I&#039;ve noticed that fairness is not a guiding light of many Conservative&#039;s views on taxation. I&#039;ve argued on this blog that it seems bizarre to me that Conservatives would rather an indivual who inherits &#163;2m of property pays no tax (compared with about &#163;0.5m under Labour&#039;s proposals) rather than reduce the tax on a hard-working fireman or small businessman, but that is indeed their current policy. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One issue that needs to be raised is in your last sentence &#039;we did not enjoy the bumper years of banking profits and bonuses&#039;. Well we did a bit, thanks to the higher rate of income tax. I&#039;m pretty sure most commenters here would like to scrap it, but I would suggest it has served a useful purpose. </p>
<p>On the other hand I&#039;ve noticed that fairness is not a guiding light of many Conservative&#039;s views on taxation. I&#039;ve argued on this blog that it seems bizarre to me that Conservatives would rather an indivual who inherits &pound;2m of property pays no tax (compared with about &pound;0.5m under Labour&#039;s proposals) rather than reduce the tax on a hard-working fireman or small businessman, but that is indeed their current policy. </p>
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