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	<title>Comments on: Mr Darling and the MPC need to think again</title>
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	<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/</link>
	<description>Incisive and topical campaigns and commentary on today&#039;s issues and tomorrow&#039;s problems</description>
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		<title>By: k jackosn</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9557</link>
		<dc:creator>k jackosn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Jan 2009 19:31:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9557</guid>
		<description>Messing about with interest rates will make little difference to bank lending. Why would a bank lend on a deflating assets. Now that the housing bubble has burst it will be impossible to re-inflate and house prices could end up 50% less than at their peak. Also businesses (estate agents and removal men spring to mind) which were profitable when we spent and spent may no longer be viable because of lack of customers. We need to face the truth, as record number of people going bankrupt and insolvent over the last three years show,  THE PARTY IS OVER, NOW THE HANGOVER BEGINS!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Messing about with interest rates will make little difference to bank lending. Why would a bank lend on a deflating assets. Now that the housing bubble has burst it will be impossible to re-inflate and house prices could end up 50% less than at their peak. Also businesses (estate agents and removal men spring to mind) which were profitable when we spent and spent may no longer be viable because of lack of customers. We need to face the truth, as record number of people going bankrupt and insolvent over the last three years show,  THE PARTY IS OVER, NOW THE HANGOVER BEGINS!</p>
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		<title>By: Low interest rates are part of the problem : The Widmann Blog</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9556</link>
		<dc:creator>Low interest rates are part of the problem : The Widmann Blog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 21:42:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9556</guid>
		<description>[...] John Redwood (the Tory MP) wrote this two days ago: [...] the problem is no longer the price of credit the Bank of England is [...] </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] John Redwood (the Tory MP) wrote this two days ago: [...] the problem is no longer the price of credit the Bank of England is [...] </p>
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		<title>By: THE ESSEX BOYS</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9555</link>
		<dc:creator>THE ESSEX BOYS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 00:45:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9555</guid>
		<description>Ian Jones Reply:
January 8th, 2009 at 8:41 am

Hmmm, BTL.

************************************************

Hi Ian - it&#039;s painful being pilloried, even gently!

As a group of ex-marketing blokes we got into BTL through a couple of sons in 2000, and decided to offer fairly-priced, well-furnished and maintained property in good locations to rising young professionals. Also to treat our tenants as clients. We&#039;ve never had a vacancy in our several flats since! Good, honest, sensible business..well rewarded.

The point we make is that those extended period of low rates enabled us to do this and make a contribution to young people&#039;s wellbeing, albeit at a fair personal profit - so it wasn&#039;t all bad! Today&#039;s further (in our view unnecessary) cut is yet more good financial news for those of us on trackers but, like other mortgagees, we suffered when rates quickly rose 5 times in 06/07 and rents remained constant.

Putting personal interests aside we cannot see why interest rates should not be set for the 12 months ahead to enable would-be buyers - particularly 1st timers - to plan with confidence. Politicians and central bankers seem not to understand the havoc they wreak on ordinary folks&#039; budgets when they make such drastic changes of direction over a short period. If the direction had been changed here and in the US (13 rises over 18 months wasn&#039;t it?) gradually and not suddenly (don&#039;t they ALL rather enjoy donning the hairshirt and making the pips squeak!) we may well have avoided the complete mess in which the housing market finds itself - and housing and construction is the driving consumer force in both countries.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ian Jones Reply:<br />
January 8th, 2009 at 8:41 am</p>
<p>Hmmm, BTL.</p>
<p>************************************************</p>
<p>Hi Ian &#8211; it&#8217;s painful being pilloried, even gently!</p>
<p>As a group of ex-marketing blokes we got into BTL through a couple of sons in 2000, and decided to offer fairly-priced, well-furnished and maintained property in good locations to rising young professionals. Also to treat our tenants as clients. We&#8217;ve never had a vacancy in our several flats since! Good, honest, sensible business..well rewarded.</p>
<p>The point we make is that those extended period of low rates enabled us to do this and make a contribution to young people&#8217;s wellbeing, albeit at a fair personal profit &#8211; so it wasn&#8217;t all bad! Today&#8217;s further (in our view unnecessary) cut is yet more good financial news for those of us on trackers but, like other mortgagees, we suffered when rates quickly rose 5 times in 06/07 and rents remained constant.</p>
<p>Putting personal interests aside we cannot see why interest rates should not be set for the 12 months ahead to enable would-be buyers &#8211; particularly 1st timers &#8211; to plan with confidence. Politicians and central bankers seem not to understand the havoc they wreak on ordinary folks&#8217; budgets when they make such drastic changes of direction over a short period. If the direction had been changed here and in the US (13 rises over 18 months wasn&#8217;t it?) gradually and not suddenly (don&#8217;t they ALL rather enjoy donning the hairshirt and making the pips squeak!) we may well have avoided the complete mess in which the housing market finds itself &#8211; and housing and construction is the driving consumer force in both countries.</p>
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		<title>By: Colin</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9554</link>
		<dc:creator>Colin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 17:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9554</guid>
		<description>No need to worry. In the land of Mugabenomics the BOE will just buy it&#039;s own debt.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No need to worry. In the land of Mugabenomics the BOE will just buy it&#8217;s own debt.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Jones</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9553</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Jones</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 08:41:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9553</guid>
		<description>Hmmm, BTL. The very definition of Government causing market failure! The law preventing the adequate supply of new houses (Planning laws) whilst allowing free market demand via under taxed investments in housing!

We wonder why the young feel so disenfranchised, I doubt the Conservatives can do anything as I expect the BTL crowd are a key constituent.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm, BTL. The very definition of Government causing market failure! The law preventing the adequate supply of new houses (Planning laws) whilst allowing free market demand via under taxed investments in housing!</p>
<p>We wonder why the young feel so disenfranchised, I doubt the Conservatives can do anything as I expect the BTL crowd are a key constituent.</p>
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		<title>By: APL</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9552</link>
		<dc:creator>APL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 08:07:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9552</guid>
		<description>JR: &quot;Mr Darling and the MPC need to think again&quot;

Yes, they do. Look what has just happened to German bond offer. (behind subscription)

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JR: &#8220;Mr Darling and the MPC need to think again&#8221;</p>
<p>Yes, they do. Look what has just happened to German bond offer. (behind subscription)</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.ft.com/cms/s/16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F16c7ceba-dcbe-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: THE ESSEX BOYS</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9551</link>
		<dc:creator>THE ESSEX BOYS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 23:06:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9551</guid>
		<description>In the same way we cannot forget that it was the Conservatives under IDS - not Labour backbenchers - who sealed the disastrous vote to invade Iraq, neither do we readily forgive DC &amp; GO for exerting political pressure on Brown &amp; Darling - at the height of their dither days - to rush into the re-appointment of Mervyn King. He was already on &#039;extended probation&#039; for the initial Northern Rock collapse and since has seemingly lost the plot entirely. We have not heard why King and most of his committee chose to ignore Mr Blanchflower&#039;s urging month after month.

Personally it&#039;s in our group&#039;s personal interests to see a further cut in interest rate but already we are paying less than 3% on our BTL trackers; with no reduction in rental income the profits are now generous to say the least. However, objectively we agree that a further cut will have little or no positive effect.

Individually we are also being bombarded with 0% balance transfer promotional offers and unsolicited increases in our credit limits by several credit card companies. Is this merely reward for maintaining excellent credit records over the years, or an indication that lending is not as tight as we are led to believe?

On a different note Conservative Home&#039;s blog yesterday on the projected Cameron reshuffle was reassuring in that the Conservatives have several &#039;Big Beasts&#039; on hand to add their experience - inc Clarke, Davis, Redwood, Rifkind - as well as &#039;Beasts in the making&#039; like Brady, Hands, Crabb and Mercer.
Compare this talent, and their experience of the real world beyond Westminster, with the &#039;no-hopers&#039; in the Labour cabinet and their really is a story to be told of the potent blend of old and new if we are bold and take the spotlight off the leader while he pauses for breath!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the same way we cannot forget that it was the Conservatives under IDS &#8211; not Labour backbenchers &#8211; who sealed the disastrous vote to invade Iraq, neither do we readily forgive DC &amp; GO for exerting political pressure on Brown &amp; Darling &#8211; at the height of their dither days &#8211; to rush into the re-appointment of Mervyn King. He was already on &#8216;extended probation&#8217; for the initial Northern Rock collapse and since has seemingly lost the plot entirely. We have not heard why King and most of his committee chose to ignore Mr Blanchflower&#8217;s urging month after month.</p>
<p>Personally it&#8217;s in our group&#8217;s personal interests to see a further cut in interest rate but already we are paying less than 3% on our BTL trackers; with no reduction in rental income the profits are now generous to say the least. However, objectively we agree that a further cut will have little or no positive effect.</p>
<p>Individually we are also being bombarded with 0% balance transfer promotional offers and unsolicited increases in our credit limits by several credit card companies. Is this merely reward for maintaining excellent credit records over the years, or an indication that lending is not as tight as we are led to believe?</p>
<p>On a different note Conservative Home&#8217;s blog yesterday on the projected Cameron reshuffle was reassuring in that the Conservatives have several &#8216;Big Beasts&#8217; on hand to add their experience &#8211; inc Clarke, Davis, Redwood, Rifkind &#8211; as well as &#8216;Beasts in the making&#8217; like Brady, Hands, Crabb and Mercer.<br />
Compare this talent, and their experience of the real world beyond Westminster, with the &#8216;no-hopers&#8217; in the Labour cabinet and their really is a story to be told of the potent blend of old and new if we are bold and take the spotlight off the leader while he pauses for breath!</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Reynolds</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9550</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Reynolds</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 18:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9550</guid>
		<description>I would add £22 billion to the budget deficit in 2009-10 by giving all basic rate taxpayers a £1,000 cheque as of January. I would pass legislation to reform financial regulation. All the old rules that have failed should go and instead smarter regulation is needed to prevent the chronic abuses that caused this mess while ensuring that Banks can lend more freely. We should examine closely how the Americans are doing this and learn those lessons. The FSA should be ended so that the system is less complex with the Bank of England regaining its old powers that it used to such good effect prior to 1997. MPC members should serve seven year fixed , non-renewable terms subject to vetting by the Treasury Select Committee and approval by the House of Lords. Their inflation target should be the more accurate RPI-x and be a  two year one of 2%. The aim would be greater financial stability with no more excess debt bubbles , no more bank runs , stable inflation and the Bank of England empowered to inject more liquidity as &amp; when needed into the financial system.

The extra £22 billion stimulus would protect the retail sector &amp; reduce the number of people going broke by giving 22 million people more scope to repay debts while spending a bit more money. The failed VAT cut should end with basic rate tax cut by 3p to 17p instead. That would add money to all taxpayers pay packets thus helping to achieve what my £1,000 cheque for basic rate payers should do.

As the Tax Payers Alliance has proved that £100 billion p/a of public sector spending is not needed one could talk to The Center For Policy Studies &amp; Adam Smith Institute about what reforms could stop this happening within say six years. This would release monies for defense &amp; balancing the budget.Unlike the VAT cut the basic rate reduction would be permanent and cuts in public spending would stop it being a net addition to the budget deficit over &amp; above present levels from 2010-11 onwards. Major reductions in the PSBR should obviate the need for higher NI &amp; Labours tax hikes on top rate payers - both will compound the damage done by Brown&#039;s anti-enterprise tax system. George Osborne is right on NI and Dominic Grieve is right on cutting taxes for the wealthy. A bigger defense budget would make sense as the under-funding is doing so much harm that it defies belief.

Britain can get out of this mess - common-sense prevailing that is! A short -term rise in public debt to counter deflation is fine as long as you can reassure the markets &amp; boost confidence with a pro-stability plan to balance the budget.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would add £22 billion to the budget deficit in 2009-10 by giving all basic rate taxpayers a £1,000 cheque as of January. I would pass legislation to reform financial regulation. All the old rules that have failed should go and instead smarter regulation is needed to prevent the chronic abuses that caused this mess while ensuring that Banks can lend more freely. We should examine closely how the Americans are doing this and learn those lessons. The FSA should be ended so that the system is less complex with the Bank of England regaining its old powers that it used to such good effect prior to 1997. MPC members should serve seven year fixed , non-renewable terms subject to vetting by the Treasury Select Committee and approval by the House of Lords. Their inflation target should be the more accurate RPI-x and be a  two year one of 2%. The aim would be greater financial stability with no more excess debt bubbles , no more bank runs , stable inflation and the Bank of England empowered to inject more liquidity as &amp; when needed into the financial system.</p>
<p>The extra £22 billion stimulus would protect the retail sector &amp; reduce the number of people going broke by giving 22 million people more scope to repay debts while spending a bit more money. The failed VAT cut should end with basic rate tax cut by 3p to 17p instead. That would add money to all taxpayers pay packets thus helping to achieve what my £1,000 cheque for basic rate payers should do.</p>
<p>As the Tax Payers Alliance has proved that £100 billion p/a of public sector spending is not needed one could talk to The Center For Policy Studies &amp; Adam Smith Institute about what reforms could stop this happening within say six years. This would release monies for defense &amp; balancing the budget.Unlike the VAT cut the basic rate reduction would be permanent and cuts in public spending would stop it being a net addition to the budget deficit over &amp; above present levels from 2010-11 onwards. Major reductions in the PSBR should obviate the need for higher NI &amp; Labours tax hikes on top rate payers &#8211; both will compound the damage done by Brown&#8217;s anti-enterprise tax system. George Osborne is right on NI and Dominic Grieve is right on cutting taxes for the wealthy. A bigger defense budget would make sense as the under-funding is doing so much harm that it defies belief.</p>
<p>Britain can get out of this mess &#8211; common-sense prevailing that is! A short -term rise in public debt to counter deflation is fine as long as you can reassure the markets &amp; boost confidence with a pro-stability plan to balance the budget.</p>
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		<title>By: Baldin</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9549</link>
		<dc:creator>Baldin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 17:12:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9549</guid>
		<description>Quite</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quite</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/01/07/mr-darling-and-the-mpc-need-to-think-again/#comment-9548</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 16:53:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2556#comment-9548</guid>
		<description>Oh well jolly good then, more rejoicing in heaven over one sinner who is saved, and all that. If we had cut them more when you called for it, would you be calling for them to go back up now? I&#039;d probably support that - if we&#039;re going to print more money, or at least put more in the economy through government borrowing, that has to be done in a way that takes debt off the private sector and individuals, not a way that encourages them to increase their indebtedness too.

Reply: I called for them to halve them. Now they have more than halved them so I call for them to stop.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh well jolly good then, more rejoicing in heaven over one sinner who is saved, and all that. If we had cut them more when you called for it, would you be calling for them to go back up now? I&#8217;d probably support that &#8211; if we&#8217;re going to print more money, or at least put more in the economy through government borrowing, that has to be done in a way that takes debt off the private sector and individuals, not a way that encourages them to increase their indebtedness too.</p>
<p>Reply: I called for them to halve them. Now they have more than halved them so I call for them to stop.</p>
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