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	<title>Comments on: That Lloyds merger again</title>
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		<title>By: rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11406</link>
		<dc:creator>rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 07:37:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11406</guid>
		<description>I am waiting for a politician to give the people an itemised breakdown of what the bailout funds have been used for.

Why isn&#039;t the Conservative Party calling for this?

reply: I do ask for this in Parliament and will continue to do so.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am waiting for a politician to give the people an itemised breakdown of what the bailout funds have been used for.</p>
<p>Why isn&#8217;t the Conservative Party calling for this?</p>
<p>reply: I do ask for this in Parliament and will continue to do so.</p>
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		<title>By: mike stallard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11405</link>
		<dc:creator>mike stallard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 21:28:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11405</guid>
		<description>I could not understand why you were so aerated about bank nationalisation at the time. I thought it was an angels dancing on the point of a needle sort of discussion.
Then Iceland failed.
Then I got to thinking: &quot;Banks deal in trillions; governments deal in billions.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I could not understand why you were so aerated about bank nationalisation at the time. I thought it was an angels dancing on the point of a needle sort of discussion.<br />
Then Iceland failed.<br />
Then I got to thinking: &#8220;Banks deal in trillions; governments deal in billions.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: A. Sedgwick</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11404</link>
		<dc:creator>A. Sedgwick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 14:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11404</guid>
		<description>The continuing calamitous state of this Government now transcends the running of the economy. We have a discredited, incompetent and unelected PM, who in all probability is going to continue until the bitter end in the hope of forming a coalition with the Libdems. Cable in for Darling, Campbell as Speaker and a cabinet post for Clegg.The delaying of the budget is a further example of hoping a miracle will occur or perhaps it is all a dream. The Conservatives need to pledge four year fixed terms and a PM can only serve after winning a general election in their manifesto. The Government has to be more accountable to the people.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The continuing calamitous state of this Government now transcends the running of the economy. We have a discredited, incompetent and unelected PM, who in all probability is going to continue until the bitter end in the hope of forming a coalition with the Libdems. Cable in for Darling, Campbell as Speaker and a cabinet post for Clegg.The delaying of the budget is a further example of hoping a miracle will occur or perhaps it is all a dream. The Conservatives need to pledge four year fixed terms and a PM can only serve after winning a general election in their manifesto. The Government has to be more accountable to the people.</p>
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		<title>By: Waramess</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11403</link>
		<dc:creator>Waramess</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 11:44:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11403</guid>
		<description>You might find a blog on the Adam Smith blog site entitled &quot;debt for equity&quot; an interesting alternative to spending government money</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You might find a blog on the Adam Smith blog site entitled &#8220;debt for equity&#8221; an interesting alternative to spending government money</p>
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		<title>By: Acorn</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11402</link>
		<dc:creator>Acorn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 11:17:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11402</guid>
		<description>&quot;The mood of the nation&quot;, that&#039;s a difficult one.  There is a young celebrity dieing in a hospital bed.  A thirteen year old commits statutory rape and looks to make a fortune out of it.  There has got to be a couple of TV series here.  &quot;Celebrity Teens Knocked-Up&quot; and &quot;Celebrity Strictly Terminal X-it Factor&quot;.

Now if we could theme them on an anti-NuLabour, anti-Keynesian basis, we will be home and dry at the next election.

Alas, it is an ill wind that blows nobody any good at times like these.  So can I direct Redwoodians to this bit in the NYT.  I don&#039;t know if the same is happening in the UK.  Read at the end what happened to the debt of Terrible Herbst.  Who was the looser?

&quot;Failed Banks Pose Test for Regulators&quot;

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/14/business/economy/14assets.html?scp=1&amp;sq=Failed%20Banks%20Pose%20Test%20for%20Regulators%20&amp;st=Search

And a bit from Alice on Bank size,

http://ukhousebubble.blogspot.com/2009/02/just-how-big-are-uk-banks.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The mood of the nation&#8221;, that&#8217;s a difficult one.  There is a young celebrity dieing in a hospital bed.  A thirteen year old commits statutory rape and looks to make a fortune out of it.  There has got to be a couple of TV series here.  &#8220;Celebrity Teens Knocked-Up&#8221; and &#8220;Celebrity Strictly Terminal X-it Factor&#8221;.</p>
<p>Now if we could theme them on an anti-NuLabour, anti-Keynesian basis, we will be home and dry at the next election.</p>
<p>Alas, it is an ill wind that blows nobody any good at times like these.  So can I direct Redwoodians to this bit in the NYT.  I don&#8217;t know if the same is happening in the UK.  Read at the end what happened to the debt of Terrible Herbst.  Who was the looser?</p>
<p>&#8220;Failed Banks Pose Test for Regulators&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/14/business/economy/14assets.html?scp=1&#038;sq=Failed%20Banks%20Pose%20Test%20for%20Regulators%20&#038;st=Search" rel="nofollow">http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/14/business/economy/14assets.html?scp=1&#038;sq=Failed%20Banks%20Pose%20Test%20for%20Regulators%20&#038;st=Search</a></p>
<p>And a bit from Alice on Bank size,</p>
<p><a href="http://ukhousebubble.blogspot.com/2009/02/just-how-big-are-uk-banks.html" rel="nofollow">http://ukhousebubble.blogspot.com/2009/02/just-how-big-are-uk-banks.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: figurewizard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11401</link>
		<dc:creator>figurewizard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 11:13:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11401</guid>
		<description>Quite apart from the competition issue is the question &#039;what is it that defines a bank?&#039; I would have thought that the first requirement for any bank would be for it to possess liquid assets of a value that were manifestly greater than its liabilities. It would seem that this was definitely not the case where HBOS was concerned during the time that Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling were putting the squeeze on Lloyds to take it over. Such a rescue however prevented them from having to mount a politically damaging government rescue. This would have dented Brown&#039;s new image, so laboriously crafted by his spin doctors as the &#039;saviour of the world.&#039;

What we should really be worrying about now is that not only does the latest news on HBOS reveal the staggering ignorance and ineptitude of this government but the questionable urgency with which this deal was forced through at the time, without ensuring that it would not result in putting yet another bank at risk.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quite apart from the competition issue is the question &#8216;what is it that defines a bank?&#8217; I would have thought that the first requirement for any bank would be for it to possess liquid assets of a value that were manifestly greater than its liabilities. It would seem that this was definitely not the case where HBOS was concerned during the time that Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling were putting the squeeze on Lloyds to take it over. Such a rescue however prevented them from having to mount a politically damaging government rescue. This would have dented Brown&#8217;s new image, so laboriously crafted by his spin doctors as the &#8216;saviour of the world.&#8217;</p>
<p>What we should really be worrying about now is that not only does the latest news on HBOS reveal the staggering ignorance and ineptitude of this government but the questionable urgency with which this deal was forced through at the time, without ensuring that it would not result in putting yet another bank at risk.</p>
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		<title>By: Waramess</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11400</link>
		<dc:creator>Waramess</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 11:13:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11400</guid>
		<description>Slowly the mood is changing and more opinions are moving towards letting the banks fail.

Some of these banks are said to have a leverage of 25 to 30 times equity although I confess to not having bothered to check this out yet. Nevertheless it seems quite obvious that unless you can establish some co-relationship between equity and bad assets then an infusion of equity will not be the answer.

It must be clear to all concerned that any attempt to save the banks is not only a shot (or a series of shots) in the dark but is likely to be such an extraordinary financial burden that it should be avoided at all cost.

In attempting to save the banks the government is doing no more than socialising a problem that should have been rightfully left for those who took the risk: the shareholders.

Had the £37 billion been used to capitalise a new bank for example, which might then have leveraged itself and bought the good assets from the failing banks, the situation now would now have been quite different.

That of course always pre-supposes the government were intent on getting into the banking business in the first place.

It would be very interesting to hear a rational argument for rescuing the banks, as opposed to a major auto manufacturer, engineering company or house-builder, or should we just save them all? After all they all have creditors.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Slowly the mood is changing and more opinions are moving towards letting the banks fail.</p>
<p>Some of these banks are said to have a leverage of 25 to 30 times equity although I confess to not having bothered to check this out yet. Nevertheless it seems quite obvious that unless you can establish some co-relationship between equity and bad assets then an infusion of equity will not be the answer.</p>
<p>It must be clear to all concerned that any attempt to save the banks is not only a shot (or a series of shots) in the dark but is likely to be such an extraordinary financial burden that it should be avoided at all cost.</p>
<p>In attempting to save the banks the government is doing no more than socialising a problem that should have been rightfully left for those who took the risk: the shareholders.</p>
<p>Had the £37 billion been used to capitalise a new bank for example, which might then have leveraged itself and bought the good assets from the failing banks, the situation now would now have been quite different.</p>
<p>That of course always pre-supposes the government were intent on getting into the banking business in the first place.</p>
<p>It would be very interesting to hear a rational argument for rescuing the banks, as opposed to a major auto manufacturer, engineering company or house-builder, or should we just save them all? After all they all have creditors.</p>
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		<title>By: Hugh</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11399</link>
		<dc:creator>Hugh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 10:19:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11399</guid>
		<description>John,

I understood from the paper yesterday that the City/Lloyds  had all been expecting losses from HBOS of about £5 bn, and that the discrepancy between that and the actual figure is mostly caused by Lloyds increasing provisions against the HBOS corporate loan book.

Such a change is an inevitable result of the application of more prudent and demonstrably better Lloyds TSB Management.

Demonstrably better in view of  the Paul Moore revelations that HBOS Management were warned but chose to ignore these problems in 2003/2004.

Surely LloydsTSB  Management only agreed to take on HBOS on the basis that it was recapitalised by HMG,  as we know it was, and there  must also have been a provision for adjusting the purchase price for changes to valuation of working capital. LloydsTSB have been demonstrably better managers,  they cannot have missed that trick.

What were the LloydsTSB  Management and their big Institutional Shareholders up to if such simple safeguards were not taken, were they clunked?

Two questions come to mind.

A.  	Who was on the HBOS board in 2002/5 with the skills and experience to support Paul Moore, the creative tension between Prudent Accountants and Marketers is not new. That is what experienced non-execs are for.

B. 	What has happened to LloydsTSB&#039;s judgement or is this just another scare story got up by the BBC and their acolytes?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John,</p>
<p>I understood from the paper yesterday that the City/Lloyds  had all been expecting losses from HBOS of about £5 bn, and that the discrepancy between that and the actual figure is mostly caused by Lloyds increasing provisions against the HBOS corporate loan book.</p>
<p>Such a change is an inevitable result of the application of more prudent and demonstrably better Lloyds TSB Management.</p>
<p>Demonstrably better in view of  the Paul Moore revelations that HBOS Management were warned but chose to ignore these problems in 2003/2004.</p>
<p>Surely LloydsTSB  Management only agreed to take on HBOS on the basis that it was recapitalised by HMG,  as we know it was, and there  must also have been a provision for adjusting the purchase price for changes to valuation of working capital. LloydsTSB have been demonstrably better managers,  they cannot have missed that trick.</p>
<p>What were the LloydsTSB  Management and their big Institutional Shareholders up to if such simple safeguards were not taken, were they clunked?</p>
<p>Two questions come to mind.</p>
<p>A.  	Who was on the HBOS board in 2002/5 with the skills and experience to support Paul Moore, the creative tension between Prudent Accountants and Marketers is not new. That is what experienced non-execs are for.</p>
<p>B. 	What has happened to LloydsTSB&#8217;s judgement or is this just another scare story got up by the BBC and their acolytes?</p>
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		<title>By: tim holden</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11398</link>
		<dc:creator>tim holden</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 09:27:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11398</guid>
		<description>The Lloyds merger negotiations were occurring during the buildup to the Glenrothes byelection. A critical element in the arrangements made was that anti-monopoly rules would be waived, and that jobs would not be rationalised in Edinburgh. Do not underestimate how much Brown is prepared to pay for a vote.

Similarly, the emphasis in the bonuses for bankers scandal has shifted. Villainise those at the very top - but pay &quot;the tellers&quot;. Given the perilous financial situation of the banks there is the clear implication that votes are being bought.

As an SME businessman, I note that the reported value of these bonuses is £1.2 billion. Given that the proposed value of additional bank finance through the government schemes (my application has been submitted and is yet unprocessed since the day it was announced) is £1.3 billion, it would appear that the rescue of small SMEs is only marginally more important that the futile attempt to bribe portions of the electorate.

It all presents a unique twist to the line from Burns:

&quot;We were bought and sold for English gold&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Lloyds merger negotiations were occurring during the buildup to the Glenrothes byelection. A critical element in the arrangements made was that anti-monopoly rules would be waived, and that jobs would not be rationalised in Edinburgh. Do not underestimate how much Brown is prepared to pay for a vote.</p>
<p>Similarly, the emphasis in the bonuses for bankers scandal has shifted. Villainise those at the very top &#8211; but pay &#8220;the tellers&#8221;. Given the perilous financial situation of the banks there is the clear implication that votes are being bought.</p>
<p>As an SME businessman, I note that the reported value of these bonuses is £1.2 billion. Given that the proposed value of additional bank finance through the government schemes (my application has been submitted and is yet unprocessed since the day it was announced) is £1.3 billion, it would appear that the rescue of small SMEs is only marginally more important that the futile attempt to bribe portions of the electorate.</p>
<p>It all presents a unique twist to the line from Burns:</p>
<p>&#8220;We were bought and sold for English gold&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: Not an Economist</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/16/that-lloyds-merger-again/#comment-11397</link>
		<dc:creator>Not an Economist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 09:19:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2916#comment-11397</guid>
		<description>Gordon&#039;s &quot;I saved the World&quot; comment is beginning to look a bit sad now me thinks ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gordon&#8217;s &#8220;I saved the World&#8221; comment is beginning to look a bit sad now me thinks &#8230;</p>
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