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	<title>Comments on: Inflation still stuck at 3%</title>
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	<description>Incisive and topical campaigns and commentary on today&#039;s issues and tomorrow&#039;s problems</description>
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		<title>By: How to Get Six Pack Fast</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11512</link>
		<dc:creator>How to Get Six Pack Fast</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2009 14:51:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11512</guid>
		<description>My friend on Facebook shared this link   and I&#039;m not dissapointed at all that I came to your blog.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My friend on Facebook shared this link   and I&#8217;m not dissapointed at all that I came to your blog.</p>
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		<title>By: rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11511</link>
		<dc:creator>rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 11:55:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>LOL</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>LOL</p>
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		<title>By: rugfish</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11510</link>
		<dc:creator>rugfish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 11:54:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11510</guid>
		<description>Yes I gathered. It just shows that the government cannot boast low unemployment and half a million vacancies whilst in the same breath saying &quot;find a job in Europe&quot; and when published European figures are HIGHER for unemployment than the government give for the UK.

They want their cake cut both ways and with an argument either way but they fail to appreciate that British people aren&#039;t daft enough to see they aren&#039;t cutting any of that cake for them because Labour has already scoffed it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes I gathered. It just shows that the government cannot boast low unemployment and half a million vacancies whilst in the same breath saying &#8220;find a job in Europe&#8221; and when published European figures are HIGHER for unemployment than the government give for the UK.</p>
<p>They want their cake cut both ways and with an argument either way but they fail to appreciate that British people aren&#8217;t daft enough to see they aren&#8217;t cutting any of that cake for them because Labour has already scoffed it.</p>
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		<title>By: Not an Economist</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11509</link>
		<dc:creator>Not an Economist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 08:25:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11509</guid>
		<description>There has been much talk of deflation for some time now. If this is taken to mean prices generally falling (i.e., so a negative CPI) then I don&#039;t think this will actually happen. I personally feel that CPI will go down further  - to say 2%, maybe 1.5% - but it wont sink into negative numbers.

More likely is a resurgence of inflation in the next year. As the BoE (and the Fed in States) starts to increase the money supply (thru Quantitative Easing) so eventually the mood in the economy will change: there will be so much money in the economy that people will want to get rid of it, exchanging it for &quot;hard&quot; assets - gold, silver - for fear of the inflationary conseqences of King&#039;s and Brown&#039;s/Mandy&#039;s fool hardiness. The money created out of thin air to date has stayed in bank&#039;s reserves as they build up their asset ratios. They will reach a point when they will start to lend this out. And so the inflationary spiral will begin. Ofcourse the monetary authorities could employ effective counter expansionary action. But they have singularly failed to do this in the last 12 years so what makes anyone think they will be better at it this time around?

And there will be no improvement in unemployment as inflation takes off again either. The belief that higher inflation inevitably leads to lower levels of unemployment is mistaken. Even with unemployment approaching 2 and then 3 million there will not be a universal unemployent of all of the factors of production (including labour) that industries will need to expand. Bottleknecks will be rife.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There has been much talk of deflation for some time now. If this is taken to mean prices generally falling (i.e., so a negative CPI) then I don&#8217;t think this will actually happen. I personally feel that CPI will go down further  &#8211; to say 2%, maybe 1.5% &#8211; but it wont sink into negative numbers.</p>
<p>More likely is a resurgence of inflation in the next year. As the BoE (and the Fed in States) starts to increase the money supply (thru Quantitative Easing) so eventually the mood in the economy will change: there will be so much money in the economy that people will want to get rid of it, exchanging it for &#8220;hard&#8221; assets &#8211; gold, silver &#8211; for fear of the inflationary conseqences of King&#8217;s and Brown&#8217;s/Mandy&#8217;s fool hardiness. The money created out of thin air to date has stayed in bank&#8217;s reserves as they build up their asset ratios. They will reach a point when they will start to lend this out. And so the inflationary spiral will begin. Ofcourse the monetary authorities could employ effective counter expansionary action. But they have singularly failed to do this in the last 12 years so what makes anyone think they will be better at it this time around?</p>
<p>And there will be no improvement in unemployment as inflation takes off again either. The belief that higher inflation inevitably leads to lower levels of unemployment is mistaken. Even with unemployment approaching 2 and then 3 million there will not be a universal unemployent of all of the factors of production (including labour) that industries will need to expand. Bottleknecks will be rife.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Jones</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11508</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Jones</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 02:49:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11508</guid>
		<description>Inflation measures are a myth in my experience with the real rate higher than published. Even in Japan you are told inflation is 0% but thats not what I experience in the shops and the Yen has appreciated so goods should be cheaper!!!!

The whole deflation argument is to soften up the people for the printing of money in order to inflate away the debt. No doubt some dodgy statistics will be used to hide it until the last possible moment by which time it will be too late.

For those who think devaluing the currency is a good thing I recommend looking at the growth statistics from the 70&#039;s and 80&#039;s when we last &quot;devalued&quot;. The only way forward is to get back to sound monetary policy (thats money supply growth and not inflation) and supply side policies. Otherwise the next growth cycle will be demand driven with no supply resulting in inflation.....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Inflation measures are a myth in my experience with the real rate higher than published. Even in Japan you are told inflation is 0% but thats not what I experience in the shops and the Yen has appreciated so goods should be cheaper!!!!</p>
<p>The whole deflation argument is to soften up the people for the printing of money in order to inflate away the debt. No doubt some dodgy statistics will be used to hide it until the last possible moment by which time it will be too late.</p>
<p>For those who think devaluing the currency is a good thing I recommend looking at the growth statistics from the 70&#8242;s and 80&#8242;s when we last &#8220;devalued&#8221;. The only way forward is to get back to sound monetary policy (thats money supply growth and not inflation) and supply side policies. Otherwise the next growth cycle will be demand driven with no supply resulting in inflation&#8230;..</p>
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		<title>By: Adam-</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11507</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam-</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 02:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11507</guid>
		<description>Just read that some prat at the Bank of England (Timothy Besley) has been saying that the declining pound will &quot;prop up&quot; prices in Britain.

Indeed.

And by the same logic the declining Zimbabwean dollar is fueling an asset price boom in Zimbabwe.

Numpties.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just read that some prat at the Bank of England (Timothy Besley) has been saying that the declining pound will &#8220;prop up&#8221; prices in Britain.</p>
<p>Indeed.</p>
<p>And by the same logic the declining Zimbabwean dollar is fueling an asset price boom in Zimbabwe.</p>
<p>Numpties.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11506</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 01:26:56 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>What will happen to RPI when interest rates go up again?  The timing of this re pension and tax allowance increases as well as wage negotiations could be critical.  Just emphasises the mess we are in.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What will happen to RPI when interest rates go up again?  The timing of this re pension and tax allowance increases as well as wage negotiations could be critical.  Just emphasises the mess we are in.</p>
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		<title>By: mart</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11505</link>
		<dc:creator>mart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 22:19:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11505</guid>
		<description>Dear John,

I thought it was quite the opposite: a. national wealth should increase as we export profitably to customers outside the country, thus earning money.  b. inflation will indeed suffer an upward spike from higher import costs due to the weakened pound, but only this year.  Next year there will be no similar inflation in cost of imports (unless of course the pound falls again), and so inflation should collapse to zero or below.

Have you expressed a view yet as to the inflationary effects of the quantitative easing that we keep hearing about in the news?  This seems to me to be a problem in the making; if we have a lot of inflation from this source, I don&#039;t know when and where we could expect to see it.

Kind regards

Reply: I have. I said there are inflationary dangers fron such a measure if it is undertaken in conjunction with high levels of state borrowing and spending and if it is not withdrawn early into the recovery.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear John,</p>
<p>I thought it was quite the opposite: a. national wealth should increase as we export profitably to customers outside the country, thus earning money.  b. inflation will indeed suffer an upward spike from higher import costs due to the weakened pound, but only this year.  Next year there will be no similar inflation in cost of imports (unless of course the pound falls again), and so inflation should collapse to zero or below.</p>
<p>Have you expressed a view yet as to the inflationary effects of the quantitative easing that we keep hearing about in the news?  This seems to me to be a problem in the making; if we have a lot of inflation from this source, I don&#8217;t know when and where we could expect to see it.</p>
<p>Kind regards</p>
<p>Reply: I have. I said there are inflationary dangers fron such a measure if it is undertaken in conjunction with high levels of state borrowing and spending and if it is not withdrawn early into the recovery.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11504</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 20:43:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2927#comment-11504</guid>
		<description>Apologies to Macolm - it is Malcolm Offord not Michael Offord!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Apologies to Macolm &#8211; it is Malcolm Offord not Michael Offord!</p>
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		<title>By: Robert</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/17/inflation-still-stuck-at-3/#comment-11503</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 20:41:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sorry I meant to say we have a much higher level of people on incapacity  benefit etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry I meant to say we have a much higher level of people on incapacity  benefit etc.</p>
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