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	<title>Comments on: The CEO announces some trading results for UK PLC</title>
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	<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/</link>
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		<title>By: tony</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11793</link>
		<dc:creator>tony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 18:54:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11793</guid>
		<description>Several further questions though.
I presume the costs quoted are the absolute worst case scenarios.  What are the likely costs going to be?

Also what happens if everyone who is entitled to benefit would finally pluck up the courage or remove their own misconceived shame, filled in all the forms to claim their benefits entitlement, not to mention the Child Trust Funds, and the inevitable compensation arising from Equitable Life.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Several further questions though.<br />
I presume the costs quoted are the absolute worst case scenarios.  What are the likely costs going to be?</p>
<p>Also what happens if everyone who is entitled to benefit would finally pluck up the courage or remove their own misconceived shame, filled in all the forms to claim their benefits entitlement, not to mention the Child Trust Funds, and the inevitable compensation arising from Equitable Life.</p>
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		<title>By: mike stallard</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11792</link>
		<dc:creator>mike stallard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 00:00:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11792</guid>
		<description>42 million is somewhat more than the government is allocating to the current wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and all the other theatres where our armed forces are operating.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>42 million is somewhat more than the government is allocating to the current wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and all the other theatres where our armed forces are operating.</p>
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		<title>By: Nick Leaton</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11791</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick Leaton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:27:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11791</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s worse John.

We do know what NR have been borrowing. We have quarterly figures for the amount being borrowed.

1. We don&#039;t know the rate they are paying.
2. We don&#039;t even know if they have paid any interest.

In otherwords we are being kept in the dark about the losses.

That is intolerable if you are playing with tax payer&#039;s money.

We are getting hints that its 1.5 trillion on the guarantee front for the other banks. Given we can find out the CDS rate for the banks, and the guarantee is at least 5 years, practically, we can work out what should be paid for the guarantee.

Chances of it being paid, zero

Try reformating into a fixed width font the details, and it&#039;s laid out better.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s worse John.</p>
<p>We do know what NR have been borrowing. We have quarterly figures for the amount being borrowed.</p>
<p>1. We don&#8217;t know the rate they are paying.<br />
2. We don&#8217;t even know if they have paid any interest.</p>
<p>In otherwords we are being kept in the dark about the losses.</p>
<p>That is intolerable if you are playing with tax payer&#8217;s money.</p>
<p>We are getting hints that its 1.5 trillion on the guarantee front for the other banks. Given we can find out the CDS rate for the banks, and the guarantee is at least 5 years, practically, we can work out what should be paid for the guarantee.</p>
<p>Chances of it being paid, zero</p>
<p>Try reformating into a fixed width font the details, and it&#8217;s laid out better.</p>
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		<title>By: tbrrob</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11790</link>
		<dc:creator>tbrrob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:54:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11790</guid>
		<description>I think you should have George Osbourne&#039;s job. Or at least Ken Clarke&#039;s.

Reply: I think David Cameron should appoint who he wishes. Mr Osborne has my full support. I think BERR should be abolished to save money, with the bits we do need going to HMT, and with regulatory budgets runs form the Cabinet Office to begin getting down the costs of those regulations that are  needless and contradictory.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you should have George Osbourne&#8217;s job. Or at least Ken Clarke&#8217;s.</p>
<p>Reply: I think David Cameron should appoint who he wishes. Mr Osborne has my full support. I think BERR should be abolished to save money, with the bits we do need going to HMT, and with regulatory budgets runs form the Cabinet Office to begin getting down the costs of those regulations that are  needless and contradictory.</p>
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		<title>By: Nick Leaton</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11789</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick Leaton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 20:28:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11789</guid>
		<description>Share      Cur Price  Purch Date  Mark Price   Gov Price      Size   Take Up    Shares   Funding        Profit
LON:HBOS          .0  12/01/2009        84.1       113.6     8,500    99.76%     7,482        45        -8,525
LON:RBS         22.1  28/11/2008        52.7        65.5    15,000    99.80%    22,901       162       -10,081
LON:RBS         22.1                   31.75       31.75     5,000   100.00%    15,748         0        -1,520
LON:LLOY        53.9  12/01/2009       140.7       173.3     4,500    99.50%     2,597        24        -3,109
B&amp;B
HERITABLE                                                                        7,124                       5
KAUPTHING
ICESAVE
LSB                   01/12/2008                             9,000   100.00%                   0        -9,000
NROCK                 05/08/2008                             3,000   100.00%                  75        -3,075
TOTAL                                                       45,000                           306       -32,864
Preference     Today       Issue        Rate   Borrowing      SizeHBOS-&gt;LLOY
Non-RBS   24/02/2009  01/01/2009      12.00%       4.00%     4,000    60.50%                                47
TOTAL                                                                                                  -32,817
Borrowing Rate 4.5
FSCS is borrowing 3 billion a year to bail out the failed banks for 3 years
Funding on this loan is ignored
Last Updated  24/02/2009


33 Billion down. You need to include the 9 billion that&#039;s gone from the FSCS.

Does anyone actually know what penal rate of interest Northern rock is paying? And whether its actually paid anything or if the penal rate is being rolled over?

Nick
Reply: Thanks for that - very useful. I do not know the Rock rate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Share      Cur Price  Purch Date  Mark Price   Gov Price      Size   Take Up    Shares   Funding        Profit<br />
LON:HBOS          .0  12/01/2009        84.1       113.6     8,500    99.76%     7,482        45        -8,525<br />
LON:RBS         22.1  28/11/2008        52.7        65.5    15,000    99.80%    22,901       162       -10,081<br />
LON:RBS         22.1                   31.75       31.75     5,000   100.00%    15,748         0        -1,520<br />
LON:LLOY        53.9  12/01/2009       140.7       173.3     4,500    99.50%     2,597        24        -3,109<br />
B&amp;B<br />
HERITABLE                                                                        7,124                       5<br />
KAUPTHING<br />
ICESAVE<br />
LSB                   01/12/2008                             9,000   100.00%                   0        -9,000<br />
NROCK                 05/08/2008                             3,000   100.00%                  75        -3,075<br />
TOTAL                                                       45,000                           306       -32,864<br />
Preference     Today       Issue        Rate   Borrowing      SizeHBOS-&gt;LLOY<br />
Non-RBS   24/02/2009  01/01/2009      12.00%       4.00%     4,000    60.50%                                47<br />
TOTAL                                                                                                  -32,817<br />
Borrowing Rate 4.5<br />
FSCS is borrowing 3 billion a year to bail out the failed banks for 3 years<br />
Funding on this loan is ignored<br />
Last Updated  24/02/2009</p>
<p>33 Billion down. You need to include the 9 billion that&#8217;s gone from the FSCS.</p>
<p>Does anyone actually know what penal rate of interest Northern rock is paying? And whether its actually paid anything or if the penal rate is being rolled over?</p>
<p>Nick<br />
Reply: Thanks for that &#8211; very useful. I do not know the Rock rate.</p>
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		<title>By: David H</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11788</link>
		<dc:creator>David H</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 19:18:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11788</guid>
		<description>John,

Alan Jutson mentions the Post Office pension fund deficit.

What I find puzzling, is why the Conservatives are promising to support the Govt in their proposed partial sell off.  Govt gets its hands on a few quid from TNT or someone else AND immediately takes over £20 billion of PO pension fund real assets.  This in exchange for a promise to keep on paying the pensions into the future, out of tax revenue (and probably out of office).

You don&#039;t imagine that much of that £20 billion will still be there for when you take over next year, do you?  Are you sure that Cameron has his tactics right on this?  Why can&#039;t he oppose the Govt&#039;s bill, cause it to fall, embarass Brown and save the family jewels for later.  I feel sure that in a year or so, Cameron will find it expedient to review the situation.

Btw, isn&#039;t Brown due for a vote of confidence sometime soon?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John,</p>
<p>Alan Jutson mentions the Post Office pension fund deficit.</p>
<p>What I find puzzling, is why the Conservatives are promising to support the Govt in their proposed partial sell off.  Govt gets its hands on a few quid from TNT or someone else AND immediately takes over £20 billion of PO pension fund real assets.  This in exchange for a promise to keep on paying the pensions into the future, out of tax revenue (and probably out of office).</p>
<p>You don&#8217;t imagine that much of that £20 billion will still be there for when you take over next year, do you?  Are you sure that Cameron has his tactics right on this?  Why can&#8217;t he oppose the Govt&#8217;s bill, cause it to fall, embarass Brown and save the family jewels for later.  I feel sure that in a year or so, Cameron will find it expedient to review the situation.</p>
<p>Btw, isn&#8217;t Brown due for a vote of confidence sometime soon?</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Pearson</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11787</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Pearson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 17:59:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11787</guid>
		<description>Good stuff. Have you read Liam Byrne article with the Telegraph defending the governments spending since &#039;97. It makes great fantasy fiction, shame he doesn&#039;t read your Blog.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good stuff. Have you read Liam Byrne article with the Telegraph defending the governments spending since &#8217;97. It makes great fantasy fiction, shame he doesn&#8217;t read your Blog.</p>
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		<title>By: Adam Collyer</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11786</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam Collyer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 16:37:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11786</guid>
		<description>The CEO has also not mentioned the other piece of outstanding news today - that UK PLC is proposing to take on the pension scheme of Royal Mail with its £5.9 bn deficit, which is apparently likely to rise further to £8-9 bn. Since this scheme, according to its Chairman of Trustees, could not even fund 50% of member benefits if it was wound up, it is clearly a part of Royal Mail that really knows how to lose money. It would therefore be an ideal fit for our overall strategy.

And UK PLC is of course proposing to sell 30% of the Mail to the private sector, so this should minimise any danger of exposure to profits from the business in the future.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The CEO has also not mentioned the other piece of outstanding news today &#8211; that UK PLC is proposing to take on the pension scheme of Royal Mail with its £5.9 bn deficit, which is apparently likely to rise further to £8-9 bn. Since this scheme, according to its Chairman of Trustees, could not even fund 50% of member benefits if it was wound up, it is clearly a part of Royal Mail that really knows how to lose money. It would therefore be an ideal fit for our overall strategy.</p>
<p>And UK PLC is of course proposing to sell 30% of the Mail to the private sector, so this should minimise any danger of exposure to profits from the business in the future.</p>
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		<title>By: Derek W. Buxton</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11785</link>
		<dc:creator>Derek W. Buxton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 13:54:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11785</guid>
		<description>Says it all really, excellent post.  Hope you sent it to DC, he has only just found out that there is a problem.

It is good to find one source of sense amidst the rubbish churned out by the lorry load,  thank you.

Derek</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Says it all really, excellent post.  Hope you sent it to DC, he has only just found out that there is a problem.</p>
<p>It is good to find one source of sense amidst the rubbish churned out by the lorry load,  thank you.</p>
<p>Derek</p>
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		<title>By: tony</title>
		<link>http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2009/02/24/the-ceo-announces-some-trading-results-for-uk-plc/#comment-11784</link>
		<dc:creator>tony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 12:36:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/?p=2985#comment-11784</guid>
		<description>By the way, over the years we have delegated the responsibility, to agenices and authorities, of the running of many organisations quite sucessfully and remunerating lots of our friends well.
For instance - the banks.  We can rightly take credit for any success and let others take the blame if something goes wrong.  The use of agencies and authorities to manage our businesses has been very successful.  The FSA were there to take the blame for this chaos of the Banks and not us while we took the credit in the good times.  The independence of the Bank of England allows us to blame someone else for the inflation/deflation.
Outsourcing has on the whole been successful.  It has allowed us to sack workers without blame.
The regular loss of data has been dealt with badly by the agencies.  The Government was getting far too much blame for this.  Also there are many more customers starting to blame us for utility bills being high.
Harringey Council has caused a few problems.  We had to replace the Director of Social Services with someone earning twice as much.  Clearly we want to continue underpaying for roles and keep costs down (at least to those who are not our favoured employees)
Our (MPs&#039;) expense allowances are a fantastic form of remuneration but we are apparently still saving money compared to our competitor MEPs as our Business Director keeps telling me.
Any new Management wouls not be able to manage as well as we have.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By the way, over the years we have delegated the responsibility, to agenices and authorities, of the running of many organisations quite sucessfully and remunerating lots of our friends well.<br />
For instance &#8211; the banks.  We can rightly take credit for any success and let others take the blame if something goes wrong.  The use of agencies and authorities to manage our businesses has been very successful.  The FSA were there to take the blame for this chaos of the Banks and not us while we took the credit in the good times.  The independence of the Bank of England allows us to blame someone else for the inflation/deflation.<br />
Outsourcing has on the whole been successful.  It has allowed us to sack workers without blame.<br />
The regular loss of data has been dealt with badly by the agencies.  The Government was getting far too much blame for this.  Also there are many more customers starting to blame us for utility bills being high.<br />
Harringey Council has caused a few problems.  We had to replace the Director of Social Services with someone earning twice as much.  Clearly we want to continue underpaying for roles and keep costs down (at least to those who are not our favoured employees)<br />
Our (MPs&#8217;) expense allowances are a fantastic form of remuneration but we are apparently still saving money compared to our competitor MEPs as our Business Director keeps telling me.<br />
Any new Management wouls not be able to manage as well as we have.</p>
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