The Dependency ratio, taxes and the state of the public finances

Source: DWP benefits statistics

 

The main reason public finances in the UK have deteriorated so badly is the surge in benefit claims and payments. It has led to big pressure on the accounts and to  too much borrowing. As the state borrows more to pay more benefits so the interest burden of the state debt rises, intensifying the problems with paying the bills. The DWP confuses the State Retirement Pension which is of course a Contributory benefit, with the other non contributory ones.

The government needs to take the surge in benefit numbers and claims more seriously. I am one of the first to say of course we should pay tax to ensure that the seriously disabled and ill can have a decent home and life . This should not be extended to granting sick notes for life to people with mild mental disorders, where helping them into work could help with their recovery. This government has allowed a big rise in the numbers granted benefits with no requirement to seek work. They need to require more to seek employment and to give them the incentives and conditions that encourage successful pursuit of a job. They also need better business and tax policies to promote more vacancies.

The government needs to toughen its controls over our borders more. Too many low pay and no pay people have been allowed in and moved onto in work and out of work benefits. Too many dependents have then also been allowed in to be with the illegal arrivals who get permission to stay. There are still far too many illegal arrivals who are now allowed by this government to claim asylum after they arrive illegally, despite arriving from safe countries. Recruiting more from overseas to do low paid jobs also depresses wages, leaving more people needing benefit top up. This becomes a poverty go round.   This too is increasing the dependency ratio.

The combination of inviting in, allowing in and home growing too many people on low and no incomes is leading to a soaring benefit bill. The more people there are on benefits, the more this government puts up taxes on those who are not. The higher taxes then pushes the richest and most successful out of the country, worsening the ratio between taxpayers and recipients of benefits, More than half the nation now receives net benefits, placing an ever greater strain on those who do make a financial contribution to the state.

65 Comments

  1. Ian Wragg
    June 12, 2026

    All going to plan then
    Population replacement at full speed, no money for defence bit unlimited funds to prop up the immigration scam.
    Net zero under the command of the idiot Marxist Milibrain destroying our energy security under the guise of increasing energy security.
    These problems alone if refunded would stabilise our finances.
    Liebour being the Welfare Party will never address things because it would upset what they consider their core vote. This of course isn’t the case as a large portion of immigrants are now voting for their own people.
    I see no healthy solution.

    1. glen cullen
      June 12, 2026

      …and its rained for the first 12 days of June, thats got to mean somethink ….the omens aren’t good

      1. Old Albion
        June 12, 2026

        Yeah! haven’t heard much from the climate zealots about that.

      2. Mickey Taking
        June 12, 2026

        at least the solar panels get washed.

      3. Mark
        June 13, 2026

        D-Day weather. Frequently occurs in early June. Also worth noting that May was a poor month for renewables. Much less sunny than a year ago, and sharply reduced wind output too. With several nuclear stations on shutdown for maintenance and refuelling gas kept the lights on even with high levels of power imports.

    2. Peter D Gardner
      June 15, 2026

      Well if Brits won’t vote for the socialist/communist Labour government then it needs to import people who will.

  2. Pominoz
    June 12, 2026

    “The DWP confuses the State Retirement Pension, which is of course a Contributory benefit, with the other non- contributory ones.”

    It is obviously quite right, in the minds of the Government, to allow millions of never-to-work migrants into the country and give them vast sums of money without question, but considered quite wrong to pay a proper State Pension to those who fully contributed during their working lives, but are now living in Australia, New Zealand, Canada and certain other countries, thereby also removing from the Government the cost of continuing healthcare.

    It is time this anomaly was rectified, and the State Pensions unfrozen.

    1. Wanderer
      June 12, 2026

      @Pominoz. Agreed.
      More often than not our governments are profligate, but in some cases they are doggedly penny-pinching.

      The overseas pensioners may not be spending their money here, but neither are they a draw on our health service and infrastructure.

      I get a tiny pension from Austria, and it rises in line with their domestic rates, as far as I can tell.

      1. Iain Gill
        June 12, 2026

        yes

        on the other hand the punitive taxes on inheritance from pension funds will probably lead many people to move themselves and their pensions abroad, to stop the wasteful state getting their hands on the money when they die and it gets passed onto their kids

      2. rose
        June 12, 2026

        A contributor to this site drew our attention to the section on polygamy in the DWP information. All “in the marriage” – i.e. up to five people – are entitled to pensions. It doesn’t say anything about contributions. No wonder they think they are benefits.

    2. Berkshire Alan.
      June 12, 2026

      +1

    3. Christine
      June 12, 2026

      Although the state pension is contributory for most of us, it is non-contributory for the millions who receive benefits, including many who don’t even live in the UK because they also receive free NI credits, which go on to qualify them for a UK state pension when they retire. We should be asking why we are paying benefits to people who don’t even live in the UK. This is a hangover from us being a member of the EU. We should stop free NI credits immediately because it will cause a massive bill in the future. We should also stop people living abroad from buying cheap NI credits, allowing them to receive state pensions from more than one country. The UK benefit system has become a huge scam which politicians fear to touch.

      1. Mark
        June 13, 2026

        I worked in the Netherlands for a while. I paid compulsory contributions to the Dutch state pension scheme. When I applied for my state pension in the UK I was able to get those contributions transferred towards it (doubtless on relatively unfavourable terms, but I would not have qualified for a Dutch pension). I don’t consider that immoral: not different from consolidating pensions from different employers within the UK.

    4. Bloke
      June 12, 2026

      My brother-in-law permanently moved to Thailand when he was a pensioner. The govt continued paying his pension. He also received UK heating allowances & supplements while living in the extremely hot climate there. He told the paying source that he didn’t need such payments, but they replied that they had no way of stopping them!

      1. Mark
        June 13, 2026

        He should view them as compensation for no index linking of his state pension.

    5. Mickey Taking
      June 12, 2026

      Pom, While understanding your criticism, there might be an argument against in that it might be expected we would ‘spend’ it or be taxed again on it, living in the UK. That covers some of the basic cost of services and industries we still need in retirement.
      Australia benefits from your UK pension spent there, not here.

      1. Pominoz
        June 12, 2026

        The UK does not benefit from pensions spent in, for example, USA, Spain, Papua New Guinea etc., but the pensions paid there are still uprated, not frozen.

    6. Pominoz
      June 13, 2026

      A very lengthy and detailed post if Lord Redwood will kindly allow. I think it provides most useful information.
      Based on the latest official data available:

      1. How many UK State Pension recipients live overseas?

      Based on the quoted total of 12,969,000 State Pension recipients.

      The Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) estimates that there are about 1.2 million UK State Pension recipients living overseas. Of these, around 480,000 live in countries where their pension is frozen and does not receive annual uprating.

      So, approximately:

      Category Number
      Total State Pension recipients 12,969,000
      Living overseas ~1,200,000
      In frozen-pension countries ~480,000

      This means roughly 9.3% of all pension recipients live abroad, and around 3.7% of all recipients are affected by the frozen-pension policy.

      2. How many overseas pensioners have frozen pensions?

      The DWP’s latest estimate is approximately 480,000 people. Around 84% of them live in Australia, Canada and New Zealand.

      That equates to roughly:

      Location group Approximate number
      Australia, Canada & New Zealand ~403,000
      Other frozen countries ~77,000
      Total frozen pensioners ~480,000

      3. What would it cost to unfreeze them immediately and restore them to the full pension they would have received had they never been frozen?

      The DWP specifically modelled this scenario.

      Their methodology assumes that every affected pensioner is immediately brought up to the pension level they would be receiving if their pension had always been uprated.

      The estimated additional annual expenditure was:

      Financial year Cost
      2023/24 £860 million
      2024/25 £940 million
      2025/26 £930 million
      2026/27 £930 million
      2027/28 £930 million

      The most recent estimate is therefore approximately £930 million per year in ongoing additional expenditure.

      4. What would be the one-off cost of paying all historical shortfalls?

      This is where the answer becomes uncertain.

      The DWP estimates above do not include back payments. They only estimate the future cost of restoring everyone immediately to the pension level they would otherwise be receiving.

      No official government estimate appears to exist for total accumulated arrears.

      However, a rough illustration can be made:

      480,000 frozen pensioners.
      Average annual shortfall varies enormously depending on when the pension was frozen.
      Some lose only a few hundred pounds per year.
      Others who retired abroad decades ago may receive less than half the current pension rate and can lose £4,000–£7,000 per year.

      If one assumed an average historic loss of:

      Average accumulated loss per pensioner Total arrears
      £20,000 £9.6 billion
      £30,000 £14.4 billion
      £40,000 £19.2 billion
      £50,000 £24.0 billion

      These are illustrative calculations only, not official estimates.

      In practice, because many pensioners have been frozen for decades, the aggregate arrears bill could plausibly run into the tens of billions of pounds if Parliament decided to compensate all past losses. No authoritative government figure has been published to confirm the exact amount.

      Summary

      Using current DWP figures:

      Total State Pension recipients: 12.969 million
      Living overseas: about 1.2 million
      Living in frozen-pension countries: about 480,000
      Annual cost of fully unfreezing and restoring pensions to their notional current level: about £930 million per year
      Official estimate of historic arrears liability: none published
      Likely order of magnitude of total arrears if every historical shortfall were repaid: probably several billion pounds and potentially well over £10 billion, depending on the assumptions used.

      1. Mickey Taking
        June 13, 2026

        ‘Others who retired abroad decades ago’ which puts them at least 85 years old.

      2. Mark
        June 13, 2026

        Those who emigrate do so with open eyes for the consequences. The present government has been publicly mooting other exit taxes calibrated on how much less appetising a future in the UK appears to be.

  3. Mick
    June 12, 2026

    Lunatics running the Asylum , all the liebour party are interested in are the workshy and foreigners, then you still come across the muppets who backs the liebour idiots no matter what, this country is on its knees now and no not taking the knee, the sooner this diabolical government are kicked out cannot come soon enough

  4. lifelogic
    June 12, 2026

    indeed “More than half the nation now receives net benefits, placing an ever greater strain on those who do make a financial contribution to the state.” Rather a problem for democracy as you are likely get over 50% of voters voting for ever more of other people’s money. These other people then leave, go black market, stop working or go on benefits themselves or perhaps go on benefits with a bit black market cashing in hand working on the side. The Reeves Doom Loop in all its disastrous glory.

    If you add in all the other direct benefits they get, school places, cheap cars, prescriptions, council tax reductions, rent payments, health care, free bus places… if often means they need a very high paid job that they will never get to be as well off as on benefits. Plus then they will have child care cost, transport to work, lunches at works… to pay for and far less time to shop efficiently, cook, diy, barter…

    1. iain gill
      June 12, 2026

      I know a UK city where free laptops are dished out, supposedly to help the poorest school children. they are handed out on tribal sectarian lines, no records of who gets what. lots of abuse. all paid for by public sector grants and charity. massively unfair for decent families trying to pay their own way. there is lots of state spending like this which is wasteful.

    2. Bloke
      June 12, 2026

      The current give-away system has been expanded and absorbed over many years and is so far embedded that many now regard it as normal. However, anyone designing such a system from scratch would be widely dismissed as a lunatic.

      Child benefit seems one of the least offensive to those who object, but folk should treat parenting thoughtfully, and plan and look after their own children. Capping at two children would seem fairer than being unlimited as the costs are proportionately lower for things such as meals, and much clothing that can be passed down to a younger child before becoming worn.

    3. rose
      June 12, 2026

      There is also “the social tariff” whereby we have another form of two tierism: You pay the full amount on your Net Zero gas and electricity bill, plus all the taxes, and those on benefits get a special low rate. This will eventually apply right across the private sector.

  5. Wanderer
    June 12, 2026

    Governments have allowed special interest groups and lobbyists to expand the welfare state beyond our carrying capacity. The migration industry (NGOs, lawyers, contractors, service providers, big business hungry for cheap malleable labour, etc) has connived and pushes on that front. Those pushing for various mild or previously unnoticed mental disorders to be classified and designated for financial and other costly public support is another example.

    We need to start from the premise that we have a national budget and will live within it. Non-contributory benefits are to be very rarely created and caps put on total expenditure. That would make it easier to halt this corrosive expansion of the state, often at the hands of non state and quasi state actors.

    1. Narrow Shoulders
      June 12, 2026

      Pay people to be disabled – people become disabled

      Pay people not to work – people don’t work

      Create food banks – people choose to use them while have mobile phone subscriptions.

      1. Dave Andrews
        June 12, 2026

        Pay people to be sick, they are sick and the mind won’t let the body recover.

    2. Lifelogic
      June 12, 2026

      Labour to pay British firms £5k per foreign worker while nation’s youths battle jobs crisis
      — A single “scale-up” business would be allowed to claim a maximum of £5,000 per employee, up to a limit of £25,000 per year.

      Why incentives to take on foreign workers or indeed Indian workers as no NI sometimes. Yet more anti-UK workers two tier discrimination! I also see that the BoE like the RAF does not want any white men.

      1. Mark
        June 13, 2026

        Once upon a time the BoE employed only the most able. There was a problem that they weren’t always sufficiently well grounded, and became an isolated clique full of double firsts. However the attempt to dumb it down is a much surer recipe for monetary disaster.

    3. Ian B
      June 12, 2026

      @Wanderer
      A comment elsewhere supplied an interesting response to the Defence budget being based on a percentage of GDP, when Labour was saying in as a means of deflection, to pay for defence the money would have to come from health and education. It was pointed out as others suggest we have ‘Budgets’ so why isn’t health, education also a % of GDP.
      The point as you elude to why is the general population expected to work within the budgets of what they earn, yet the UK Parliament thinks a Budget is when the are more creative on tax collection to ‘remove’ money from the economy.

  6. Oldwulf
    June 12, 2026

    There has been some comment in the media about the amount someone needs to earn in order to equate with certain benefit claimants, as many benefits are tax free.

    A small first step to a solution to the problem you have outlined, is to make all benefits taxable ?

    https://www.gov.uk/income-tax/taxfree-and-taxable-state-benefits

    1. Mark
      June 13, 2026

      The state pension is fully taxable, even though they take the tax from other pensions/income.

  7. iain gill
    June 12, 2026

    its not just low or no pay immigrants, its also immigrants higher up the pay scale with skills already in over supply, easily trained into the local population, displacing locals out of the jobs market. discouraging locals from studying and training in many roles as they can see all the jobs are being given to imported workers. work visa holders allowed to work without paying any national insurance undercutting the local workforce. immigrants with families who fill our schools and hospitals. immigrants who steal the best British intellectual property on an industrial scale and move it abroad where it is used to undercut this country.

  8. Rodney Needs
    June 12, 2026

    The one that sticks out is attendance allowance. My understanding is its paid without any checks.

    1. Iain Gill
      June 12, 2026

      on the other hand the forms are way too lengthy

      in the case of someone terminally ill, needing a lot of care, the application should be a lot more streamlined

  9. iain gill
    June 12, 2026

    I am aware of the size of the contracts given to serco and others to deal with the illegal immigrants. the vast amount of money wasted there is not helping the public finances.

  10. Mark B
    June 12, 2026

    Good morning.

    I am led to believe that more and more people, like my lazy next door neighbour, are claiming sickness benefits. We also have to factor in the increase in child allowance. We are paying more and more and receiving less and less as people want to work to better themselves not to pay for other lifestyles.

    There needs to be a cap on how long a person who is fit and healthy can claim for benefits. We must also consider stopping this coming from central funds and putting it on the Council Tax. Unpopular I know, but when people see other people ‘swinging the lead’ and know that they are directly paying for it, attitudes will change.

  11. Roy Grainger
    June 12, 2026

    Pushing the Lib/Lab/Con line that the state pension is a benefit just like all the others and therefore, by implication, can be cut and means tested in future. Jeremy Hunt was keen on this view, he wanted to abolish National Insurance entirely thus clearing the way for means-testing it rather than basing it on years of contributions. But it isn’t a benefit, it’s a right. If I give an insurance company £100k in return for an annuity of £6k pa then is that a benefit ? Can they reduce the amount ? Can they say “Oh you don’t really need it so we’re stopping it” ? They may have spent that £100k on new furniture for their CEO but that is of no relevance at all.

  12. Narrow Shoulders
    June 12, 2026

    Pension credit is a benefit
    Public sector pensions are inflated by an obscene employer contribution of up to 28%.
    The state pension is taxable, earned and based on paid contributions. It is the only “benefit” that is contributions based. I think that the triple lock is unaffordable and the increase in pensions should be based on the increase in national earnings so that pensioners enjoy the same jeopardy as the workforce. But the state pension is not a benefit.

  13. Narrow Shoulders
    June 12, 2026

    Housing benefit should be cut.

    The best way to reduce housing costs is to limit the free money renters and landlords have access to through housing benefit.

    PIP and other disability benefits should not be paid for mild neurodiverse conditions. Most people go to work and cope with adversity, that is the way of the world. Children and adults need to be more resilient so that real payments can be made to the deserving.

    A tick box questionnaire can be coached as can in person interviews so the only way to reduce the number of claimants is to be cold and specific about which physical disabilities are covered.

    Disabilities that are not immediately apparent must be taken off the reward list and become subject to separate claim process where the outcome is in doubt rather than assumed to be granted.

    Remove all benefits from foreign nationals including those with leave to remain and who have been handed a British passport. Moving country is supposed to be difficult and if you can’t support yourself, don’t come.

  14. Narrow Shoulders
    June 12, 2026

    Import poverty – become poor

  15. Sakara Gold
    June 12, 2026

    Excessive benefits payments have led to the country losing an excellent SoS Defence. John Healey is that rarity in British politics, an honourable and principled man who has put his country before his job

    It must be obvious that we need to spend more on defence. However, the MoD is a bottomless pit into which the taxpayer pours £billions and £billions. Unfortunately we get very little to show for it.

    We have bought £billions of assets such as the Type 45 destroyers, the carriers and the Astute class SSN only to have them alongside for years waiting for refits and maintenance. The once lauded British Army has been cut to the bone. Recently, Healey had to stop the MoD from disbanding 2 and 3 Para to save money.

    The Israelis spent abut £25 billion last year on defence. Their armed forces regularly wipe the floor with their opponents to defend their people. We spent about £65 billion and we have less tanks, less warplanes, less submarines, less ships and a much smaller army

    We do, however have ~65,000 Latin speaking MoD civil servants. Twice as many as our reserve forces. MoD procurement needs root and branch reform and Healey’s replacement should be prepared to let a few tens of thousands of them go, before he scraps more ships or tanks or warplanes.

    1. Mickey Taking
      June 12, 2026

      I think at last count we have about 40 Admirals and 1100 Commanders (rank) in the navy..

    2. Stred
      June 13, 2026

      We could ask the Israelis to run the MoD and save billions.

  16. Rod Evans
    June 12, 2026

    The figures are stark and frighteningly real. The issue is not lack of awareness about the scale of the public funding of needs both real and other. The issue is the system has developed over the years starting off genuinely intending to provide support where support was needed. Support that would help bridge the financial gap people experiences=d from time to time, but always predicated on it being a temporary assistance not a permanent work funded replacement. Even disability assistance was secondary to the work ethic it helped support which many disabled or less able to use today’s preferred phrase people were in work and proud to be doing their bit.
    Firms were set up specifically to provide work opportunity for the less able. They were closed down decades ago and replaced with permanent payment support. That was a huge mistake, it set the scene for rampant demand for disability support and has resulted in what we have today. The Motability scandal is a product of the ever expanding expectation of an endless class of claimant.
    We have to also recognise that job opportunities are disappearing, so is it any wonder the imaginative mind of those seeking money turns to state easy street options. Why wouldn’t they?
    A radical reset is required. That reset hinges on scrapping Net Zero, withdrawing from ECHR and repealing the Harriet Harmon Equalities Act 2010.
    Those are the prime drivers of this fiscal crisis and it is a crisis, because we now have a Defence Secretary resigning because the state can nor=t find the funds to pay for defence of the realm!

  17. Martyn G
    June 12, 2026

    Correct me if I’m wrong but you appear not have included the gold plated pensions awarded to every retiring civil servant in addition to their state pensions.
    This also applies to armed forces veterans who have served the required number of years to earn a service pension, which is paid to them around the age of 55 long before they also receive their state pension.
    I cannot imagine how much overall this costs the nation or, indeed, if it is sustainable in the longer term.

    1. Mickey Taking
      June 12, 2026

      Do any retire at an age to qualify for State Pension? Most could start another long career – I know one specifically.

  18. Dave Andrews
    June 12, 2026

    “I am one of the first to say of course we should pay tax to ensure that the seriously disabled and ill can have a decent home and life.”
    A socialist ideal, and they call you right wing!
    Can we not be taxed to pay benefits to foreigners though? Leave them to their families and charities to support.
    “helping them into work could help with their recovery”
    Indeed, but when too much burden is heaped onto employers with stiff penalties for failing, employers will only want to employ those who are 100% fit and reliable and not those who need help.

  19. Paul Wooldridge
    June 12, 2026

    The UK has become a dumping ground for the World because of our lax approach to immigration and the understanding that if you come here legally or illegally you can have free money, health provision, education,food and clothing and accommodation.
    The World now sees the UK as a soft touch who will accept anyone into their Country regardless of their mental state, health,nationality,education, finances, skill set or where they are going to live.
    We have wasted money on a brainless scheme to pay France to stop small boats across the Channel but we read about the recent attack by a Somali in Belfast who flew from Paris to Dublin to Belfast without seemingly having a visa/passport or anything else.Why was he given leave to remain here until 2028? He’s an illegal immigrant but the word “illegal” doesn’t seem to mean anything anymore.
    There is no “means testing”going on.The rule must be that if you are able to work then you must find work, whatever and wherever that is.Anyone coming to the UK must have the ability to work and have a skill and a place to live.If they are coming to get benefits then entry must be refused.
    We have turned into a lazy society where the benefits system is so good that you don’t need to work if you don’t want to.This in turn is making the UK much poorer and turning us into a second rate country, unable to defend itself, repair roads, losing industry through it’s mad ‘net zero’ policy, importing oil and gas at a premium when we already have our own, and placing enormous pressure on the NHS, schools, surgeries, housing,utilities etc.
    We must stop taxing and borrowing ourselves into decline and make decisions that will promote growth in the UK,which will have a knock on effect for its people and economy.

  20. Bloke
    June 12, 2026

    What a massive population of dependency the figures show. People earning enough and being able to look after themselves should be the norm. Supporting people in work by subsidising inadequate pay is a crazy principle. If a job is worth doing, the employer should be willing and able to pay what it costs without having the taxpayer prop them up. This crazy ethos has developed slowly and has grown to the point of collapse, spurred on by too many idiots in naive governments.

  21. Ian B
    June 12, 2026

    “The main reason public finances in the UK have deteriorated so badly” the list is interesting. But they could do everything they want, create this welfare state to do all they wish, all they had to focus on is the the Country has to earn, create wealth and to provide a future. The UK Parliament has refused, all 650MPs are in the same boat, they can’t sell themselves let alone recognise the need to create money.
    Sending UK money to prop up Foreign regimes Foreign state nationalised business. Taxing the life and sole of of the people and the nation is the removal of money from the UK economy. Buying in energy that we could produce ourselves.
    Then UK get parliaments malicious punishment, they hand out to the Nation and its People, they all get behind the cancelling of the means to earn, cancel industry and commerce.

    Perspective: Domestic Energy USD per KWh
    UK; 0.404
    France; 0.276 the UKs major supplier, same energy same source without UK Government penalty
    USA; 0.186 a major competitor for the UK
    China; 0.076

  22. Mickey Taking
    June 12, 2026

    Much of the questionable need for extra benefits above the earned (at least for most of us)State Pension, is that it barely covers essential services we use or wish to have available. Much more true in the South of England where some costs are higher than elsewhere. If successive Governments had heard the call from Liberal representation ( I’ll wash my mouth out after typing this) and gradually annually increased the basic income tax allowance then far more household incomes would manage better, and the need to have this incredible cost of providing these millions would be saved.

  23. Original Richard
    June 12, 2026

    Absolutely correct, Lord John. This is then coupled with the highest electricity prices in the developed world causing de-industrialisation, further unemployment, a reduced tax take and a soaring balance of payments deficit and borrowing. There would be no climate crisis if its “solution”, Net Zero wasn’t sabotaging our energy, economy and national security. Socialism depends upon making and keeping people poor.

  24. Ian B
    June 12, 2026

    “The government needs?” parliament needs, we pay and empower our MPs to hold the Government to account. They appear to have gone AWOL

    If we were all honest with ourselves, its not just Government its the whole of Parliament that is the problem too many slackers that shouldn’t be there. The system has corrupted its self. Quangos – job for the boys that cant find proper jobs, doing non jobs with no one responsible. The BoE has just lost the taxpayer £36billion and no one cares, and so on and so on. We have a Government and a Parliament that are overseeing approving all these loses. All safe in the knowledge that they don’t have to have elections to justify there positions

  25. rose
    June 12, 2026

    In 2016, we were told by the Remainiacs that a million EU citizens were here. I well remember even Corbyn who was not a Remainiac saying that.

    Then we were told by the EU citizens themselves there were 3 million of them. They called their ungrateful, superfluous campaign “The Three Million”.

    Then seven million signed up for permanent residence. No fee was required as the unpatriotic Parliament, full of folie de grandeur, overruled the proposal for an administration fee.

    Recently, a FOI request of the DWP revealed there were 900,000 plus people living on UC in Romania.

    I would like you, Lord Redwood, to add another piece of information to your list:

    How many foreigners are there abroad – Bulgaria, Sudan, Pakistan, etc – living on British benefits?

  26. Chris S
    June 12, 2026

    Today’s contribution from our host has been overtaken by the shock resignations yesterday.

    Healey had already been defeated by the Treasury when the money needed to cover the defence shortfall of £28bn was cut back to £18bn.

    Yet yesterday, Starmer was too weak to even provide this reduced amount when Healey revealed that he had been offered only £10bn, on condition that he also found efficency savings of £3.5bn !

    It was always going to be unrealistic to expect the overwhelming number of far left backbench Labour MPs to vote for cuts to the bloated benefits budget, but it emerged yesterday that Alexander is planning to spend another £10bn by 2030 on more cycle lanes that nobody will use, and for some time we have known that Miliband had secures another £10bn for his completely unproven Carbon Capture and Storage plan.

    Interestingly, these two ministers refused to accept cuts, when those two savings alone would have covered the entire defence shortfall.

    Whatever the merits of both, postponing them until after 2030 would make no diference to the country, while spending the extra £18bn on defence over the same period would make a substantial difference to our security, and meeting our NATO commitments.

    The remaining £2bn saved would build two more destroyers, or three extra frigates, or cover much of the work necessary to get our small number of attack submarines back into service, rather than as now, having the entire fleet tied up in dock awaiting repairs and maintenance !

    This government “led” by Starmer, is completely unable to set priorities that the whole country can see are necessary. They needto go long before 2029.

    1. rose
      June 12, 2026

      This must be the most economically and financially illiterate Parliament we have ever had. Thanks to Farage splitting the conservative vote in all 650 constituencies, only to get 4 seats himself.

      1. Mickey Taking
        June 13, 2026

        Tactical voting issue? The Electorate should always vote for what they really really want.
        They didn’t want more Conservative rule.

    2. Ian B
      June 13, 2026

      @Chris S – they only gave up their nonsense ineffectual jobs, they still remain in Parliament and still support the actions of their chose government. They could have as MPs resigned as they by supporting the government they are not supporting their constituents or the country – they could even have done what is called ‘crossed the floor’ . So in reality nothing has changed.

      They damaged no one, 2TK will continue the ‘Plan’ of hate and destruction of the UK

  27. majorfrustration
    June 12, 2026

    All very true but I do not expect anything to be done unless there is a change of party in Government.
    I think we can expect more and more disorder given the Government is happy to promise us the world but fails to deliver. Given the current debacle regarding the defence budget the % spend being tossed around does not appear to make it clear as to what is actually spent on our front line military. I am aware that Trident is included and also military pensions?? but what actually % gets to the front line
    troops in the army navy and air force. If numbers are involved then we can be sure the Government will fiddle them – does the BBC still have its verify unit?

  28. Sidney Ingleby
    June 12, 2026

    Pominoz:The DWP and our current Government confuses itself.Never mind you.
    At this moment in time untold millions of us here in the United Kingdom of
    Great Britain and Northern Ireland and in our fellow Commonwealth countries
    remember sacrifices made by our family members.Thanks for the memories.

  29. Keith from Leeds
    June 12, 2026

    The numbers are frightening for all except pensions. From top to bottom the UK has lost discipline. Hence the lazy can get signed off by Doctors who are also too lazy to do their jobs. The Government dishes out benefits as if they have no financial problems. You can see the financial crash coming, but you can’t do anything to stop it.
    The adjustment, when it comes, is going to be very painful for a lot of people.
    Until we stop immigration for at least 3 to 5 years, all the problems will get worse. For example, we don’t have a shortage of houses; we have too large a population, but no government will face up to it. Don’t blame the immigrants, the fault is with the UK governments of the last 30 years!

    1. Mickey Taking
      June 12, 2026

      How does anyone get to see a GP to get signed off?

  30. Peter D Gardner
    June 15, 2026

    It has long been the case that the majority of households in UK are net recipients from the state – 52.6% as of Dec 24. This means that all the state’s provisions such as health, education, defence, everything the state does is paid for by a minority. It is no wonder that as the proportion of immigrants of alien cultures inimical with traditional British culture rises- almost all of them being among the net recipients- resentment rises and net payers emigrate.
    It is not sustainable.

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