Daily Express

Who will rid us of these turbulent banks? The government has landed taxpayers in a dreadful and expensive mess.

First they blundered by allowing banks to lend too much and balloon their balance sheets in the good times. The Regulators fell down on the job. The government encouraged them for political reasons, wanting to keep interest rates too low and credit plentiful. Few were to be denied a mortgage, regardless of whether they could pay it back.

Next, they made the crisis worse by hiking interest rates too high for too long and starving the money markets of cash, leading to the crash in 2007 and 2008.

Then they panicked, buying shares in RBS, Lloyds, and Northern Rock without valuing all the dodgy loans properly. They didn’t ask for a discount or protect the taxpayers interests. Vince Cable became the apostle of nationalisation, given large amounts of airtime to help the government dig us deeper into the mire of owning too many risky banks on bad terms.

Messrs Darling and Cable tell you they had to intervene to buy all these nasty bank shares at high prices and then watch them fall once in public ownership. They claim it was the only way. They want you to think they saved the world.

Their actions were damaging and costly. Far from saving us, they have lumbered us with huge debts for years to come. So what should they have done?

In the good times they should have raised interest rates earlier and told the banks they needed to be more careful. When the bad times started they should have slashed interest rates much more quickly, and lent money to the banks in trouble on tough terms to see them through. There was no need to buy shares in RBS or Lloyds. Northern Rock need not have gone under if they had seen the obvious warning signs in August 2007 and done then what some of us recommended.

We are now being mugged by these bad banks. The government makes us stand behind them as their owners. On top of that the government is offering to take all their worst loans off them and give them to – yes you’ve guessed it – us the taxpayers. What ever did we do to deserve that?

So what should they do? How could we get out of this catastrophe?

The first thing to understand is that RBS and Lloyds/HBOS are simply too big and too risky. They should be split up. Their profitable foreign banks should be sold off as quickly as possible. There are buyers out there now for good overseas banks.

Investment banks in the private sector are coining it in again. The investment banking arms of RBS and Lloyds should be put quickly on a commercial footing and sold as well. The taxpayer should not be expected to stand behind casino banks. RBS had £500 billion at risk playing the markets at its last year end. That is far too much for taxpayers to have to underwrite. They are playing with almost as much as the government spends in total in a year.

The loss makers, including the UK banking arms, should be told to cut costs and get back into profit quickly. There should be no bonuses for senior executives in nationalised loss makers. If they want top drawer remuneration they should produce top drawer results – or do it with someone else’s money, not the taxpayers.

Meanwhile, the government and its regulators need to get their act together. Mr Darling has recently lectured the banks on the need to lend more. He has told them he did not make all this public money available for them to sit on their hands.

Oh yes he did. For at the same time as grandstanding and lecturing them, the FSA, his regulator, is telling the banks they need to keep more of the money they have in liquid form. That means they are not allowed to lend it to you or me or to companies. The rules stop them.

The authorities have created a self serving money go round. Taxpayers put money into the bad banks. The banks are then told they need to keep more of the money handy and lend it back to the government!

The government was wrong to allow all the mega mergers that created a bank on the scale of RBS. They could have blocked some of them. They were even more foolish to urge Lloyds and HBOS to get together. Merging a bad bank with a good bank does not create a good bank, as we have seen in the latest figures showing huge HBOS and Lloyds losses.

We the taxpayers now support banks that risk more than twice our total national income, what we all earn. I warned when they embarked on this crazy course that they could easily lose us the equivalent of the defence budget. It is going to be more than that. HBOS alone lost £13,400 million in the first half of the year, which was close to what we spend on our armed forces. What benefit are we getting for that?

It is time to try a different approach. This government can no more suspend the rules of sound finance and the laws of arithmetic than the rest of us. If our nationalised banks go on losing us money on this scale, it means much less available to spend on other things. It is high time they were put under some pressure, to shape up and sell off their businesses. And in the meantime, don’t insult us by sending us the bill for large bonuses. Can’t Mr. Darling at least sort that out?

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4 Comments

  1. oldrightie
    Posted August 10, 2009 at 11:42 am | Permalink

    Who will rid us of these turbulent banks? The government has landed taxpayers in a dreadful and expensive mess.

    Hopefully A Conservative Government!

  2. Mike Stallard
    Posted August 10, 2009 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Not only are you right today, but also you have been saying this consistently as the crisis unravelled.
    My question is this: who is listening?
    The Daily Express will, we hope, be like Noah’s dove.
    The current set of New Labour politicians can do a LOT of damage by the time they choose to call an election, though. A LOT.

  3. Denis Cooper
    Posted August 11, 2009 at 8:09 am | Permalink

    It’s clear that the government has already decided that RBS and Lloyds will not be broken up, because there’s a plan to sell bonds which would be exchangeable for RBS or Lloyds shares three years later:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5852797/UKFI-lines-up-banks-to-help-in-Lloyds-and-RBS-sale.html

    “Investment banks are being lined up to help the Government offload its £70bn stake in Britain’s two part-nationalised lenders, RBS and Lloyds.”

    “With the state’s investment under water, the bankers are currently only considering exchangeable bonds, which would be sold at a small premium to the state’s entry price and pay a minimal interest rate for a fixed term, likely to be three years. The buyer would then take ownership of the shares if they have risen above the initial sale price, pocketing a profit.”

    Promising bondholders that they’ll have the right to take ownership of RBS or Lloyds shares wouldn’t make it impossible for the next government to break them up, but it would make it more difficult.

    An Act of Parliament would have to say, in effect, “Although these bonds were sold on the promise that bondholders would have the right to RBS shares, they’ll get these other shares instead”, and retrospective changes like that are bad for the government’s reputation and relations with international investors.

    If I can notice this in the Telegraph and see the implications then so can George Osborne and Philip Hammond, and as they’ve said nothing about it I conclude that it’s also Tory party policy that these mega-banks should not be broken up.

  4. Brian Tomkinson
    Posted August 11, 2009 at 8:40 am | Permalink

    Why don’t we hear such good sense expressed in such a forthright way from the Conservative front bench? It worries me that you seem like a voice in the wilderness even in your own party. In the meantime, with much help from the media, Vince Cable has managed to become a “brand” (which means success in today’s politics) – the man you can trust and rely on to tell it to you straight. On the only programme I saw you and he debate the banking crisis you clearly won the argument which is probably why you have never been asked to appear with him since.

  • About John Redwood


    John Redwood won a free place at Kent College, Canterbury, and graduated from Magdalen College Oxford. He is a Distinguished fellow of All Souls, Oxford. A businessman by background, he has set up an investment management business, was both executive and non executive chairman of a quoted industrial PLC, and chaired a manufacturing company with factories in Birmingham, Chicago, India and China. He is the MP for Wokingham, first elected in 1987.

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