I did not understand why there was so much hype about Mrs Merkel’s visit. She is a cautious politician who always prefers to put off decisions or difficulties where possible. Her speech did not say Yes and did not say No. It was a model of ambiguity.
Given Mr Miliband and Mr Clegg’s position that the UK should stay in the current EU without renegotiation and with no referendum to allow us to leave, Mrs Merkel rightly concluded the UK problem can be deferred until after the 2015 election. Only if Mr Cameron wins will she need to have a new approach, when she will then want to try to keep the UK in, knowing that many UK people just want a vote to get out. She will then face a united UK government that cannot accept our current relationship. There will be no offer to the UK all the time the UK Parliament is short of a Eurosceptic majority.