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When a government is as unpopular as this one, and adrift looking for ways back, good opposition can influence or force changes.

People on this website are ever ready to criticise all political parties  and leaders, and most agree the government is failing. Fewer are willing to get behind constructive opposition and campaign for solutions. You may feel better for letting off steam about most MPs, but they are the ones you helped elect with plenty of choice available. If you dislike all the choices you need to stand yourself or back new people who can transform existing parties or create new ones.If too many do that it gets more difficult to get a government that you like, as it splinters the vote for causes you believe in.

We are closest today to changes in the government approach and policy to three things. They may give ground on extreme net zero policies now the damage they are doing to jobs and big industries is becoming more obvious and now the Unions are opposed to their  approach. There is already talk of relaxing the ban on new oil and gas drilling.

They may need to propose tougher measures to look as if they are getting some control of our borders. The  new Home  Secretary claims to be tougher but so far has not announced the policies to justify the words. Reform will continue to headline the issue. The Conservative have tabled draft legislation and set out an administrative scheme which would control the borders.

They need a new approach to tax and spending. They will find this the most difficult to change as the Labour  party is by instinct a high tax party. Many members and Ministers want to tax the  rich more, with schemes that tax the better off too much. They think making the rich poorer by making them pay more is a good thing in its own right. They like levelling down as well as levelling up.They forget the huge revenue and talent loss experienced by the 1974-9 government when it tried taxing the rich more

We need good campaigns to highlight obvious waste and bad management, from Bank of England losses to HS  2 runaway costs, from a surge of people qualifying for benefits with no need to look for work to the big productivity loss  in public services.

The first policy to change is the ban on new oil and gas exploration and development. Importing instead means no well paid ,jobs in the UK. It means large tax revenues on producing fossil fuels goes to the government of the country we buy from, not to the UK Treasury. More CO 2 is generated, especially when importing gas as LNG. That requires large amounts of energy to compress and cool it, keep it cool, transport by diesel ship and then convert it back to gas.

The second is to consult on a way we could reinstate exploration and production onshore. There can be strict rules about drilling well away from homes and towns, about concealing from view the  well head workings as at Wytch Farm in Dorset, and community participation in the revenues for those closest to the development or owning land above the reservoir. No other country leaves such an important resource untapped. We could extract it with less environmental impact than the gas we import imposes on somewhere else.

The third is to remove the ban on producing more diesel and petrol cars in 2030, and to remove the intermediate targets and penalties on companies making too any of them in the run up to 20230. This is massive self harm, undermining our industry and leading to more imports after 2030 as people will still want to buy diesel and petrol cars, and will buy nearly new if they are banned from buying straight off the production line. Overseas companies will have a great market opportunity to send us new cars with whatever the minimum mileage is to qualify as second hand in the UK on the clock. No government can stop us buying  and selling second hand diesel and petrol cars.

The fourth is stop paying guaranteed prices for new wind and solar projects, but to let them bid into the system as other generators do. The government should end renewable subsidies. Adding more heavily subsidised renewables with high guaranteed prices makes electricity dearer, not cheaper. It adds to the need for very expensive expansion of the grid to handle the interruptible power often coming from many miles away from the consumers. We need more reliable gas power stations in the areas where most people live and businesses are located.

The fifth is remove any idea of banning gas boilers and subsidising heat pumps for residential property. Gas boilers usually remain the cheapest solution to install, and we lack the extra electricity to allow major switching to electricity for home heating.

I was pleased to see the Unite Union make the case against the disastrous de industrialisation Mr Miliband’s policies are causing. I welcome Claire Couthino’s return from maternity leave as she takes on the argument that far from UK electricity being too dear because of the gas price, UK electricity is far dearer than gas thanks to extreme renewable policies. The mix of high guaranteed prices and substantial subsidy make new wind power very expensive. She rightly pointed out that recent guaranteed prices for renewable power from new wind farms are several times dearer than for gas generated electricity and for using gas as a primary fuel.

Some here want the main parties to dump the whole idea of climate change, challenging the science. In my two short books on the topic,  “Build back green  The electrifying shock of the green revolution” (2021) and  “The $275 tn Green Revolution   Will consumers buy it” (2024)  I accepted the scientific consensus that CO 2 is a warming gas, and if nothing else changes more man made CO 2  leads to some overall warming.

I raised a number of questions about how the global  temperatures are measured, why there were periods of global warming and cooling before mankind arrived and before the widespread human burning of fossil fuels, how accurate the climate models and forecasts are , whether sun intensity, water vapour presence and other important factors could offset or accelerate the impact of manmade CO 2 and other obvious issues. As many governments and universities continue to spend a lot of money and human resource on climate change studies, clearly they do not think the models are perfect or our knowledge complete. Some of you contribute to the scientific discussion. There is no sign that there is about to be a major change of scientific view held by the leading European and UK governments and the main universities.

I still do not intend to develop the debate about the pace, intensity or reality of global warming. By all means contribute to this debate if you have studied the models and the wider science.  I wish to intensify the debate about UK net zero policies with a view to getting urgent change. To get that change we need the support of the many experts and people in power who do believe global warming is serious and brought on by current manmade CO 2.

One of the strongest reasons for change  all in the debate should agree is the current UK net zero policies are wrong in their own terms. They increase world CO 2 with their manic pursuit of less CO 2 produced here but far more world CO 2 needed to produce all the imports we then need as we close down our own factories and oil fields. Imported LNG means 3 times as much CO 2 per unit burned than UK gas down a pipe from the North Sea.

They are wrong in saying the UK by closing down fossil fuel use more quickly will lead the rest of the world. Instead over the many years we have been leading the world in cutting our own CO 2 emissions manmade world CO 2 has continued to increase. There is no evidence that UK leadership has worked or will work all the time China and Germany wish to make things to sell to us with plenty of coal and gas in their mix of fuels.

They are even wrong over their proposed remedies for too much CO 2. Buying a new battery car may mean more world CO 2 not less when you take into account all the extra CO 2 produced by the mining for rare minerals, the manufacture of the batteries and the likely use pattern of the vehicle. Worse still much of the time in the UK when you come to charge the battery car there is no spare renewable electricity available so they need to burn more gas in a gas powered generator. The same can be true of a heat pump. On a very cold windless day in winter your heat pump will need more gas fired electricity to keep it running.

I will look in a later blog at the changes we urgently need in policy.

The arrival of drones over various EU countries should act as a further spur to the UK to make the improvement of  surveillance and interception systems its greatest defence priority. The UK has early warning of foreign fighters, bombers and missiles coming in. We now need an upgrade to give us the best systems, capable of detecting the smaller unmanned drones and sending up counter measures.

As no country or interest claims responsibility for the unannounced drones there can be no objection to destroying them where and when it is safe to do so. The UK cannot get into a situation where unwanted drones can turn up without permission and occupy airspace we need for peaceful civilian purposes. Clearly hostile incoming vehicles and missiles are best destroyed before they cross the coast. Nor can we allow any chance of an attack from hostile sources getting through our defences if a terrorist group or a hostile state that does not play by the rules decided on an attack.

The UK as a good member of NATO will spend above the minimum and needs to make faster progress to matching the more exacting aspirations set out by the US and NATO recently. The UK should also remember the importance in the NATO founding Treaty that each member state should see to its own self defence. The support of other members is important, but that is  not any state’s first line of defence. Other states expect a state under attack to have prepared and to lead the fighting.

In a world where non state actors can get access to dangerous and sophisticated weapons, and where drones can be made for modest sums and launched in great numbers, the UK needs to look to its aerial defences. The government has said it will accelerate the development of Uk drone technology and increase the UK’s ability to make them at home. This too is an urgent priority. The war in Ukraine has shown us the importance of the drone and the vulnerability of conventional weapons like tanks and ships to drones and missiles.Finding an effective response to massed drone attacks is not proving easy.

The Telegraph published an article of mine on line yesterday explaining why the trade figures disprove the Remain forecast of economic damage from trade friction. This is the trade story of the last ten years.

In 2016, the year of the vote, the UK exported £542Bn and imported  £581 bn, a deficit of £ 39 bn. Last year the UK exported £894bn, an increase of 64%, and imported £937bn, an increase of 61%. The deficit was £43 bn. These were good increases, and were led by large increases in our exports of services to non EU countries. So  much for all the predictions that our trade would be badly hit by Brexit. Our exports particularly of services have taken off in recent years.

Last year the EU counted for just 41% of our exports, with the rest of the world at 59% and increasing. Services also accounted for 59% of our trade and is rising.  Our trade in goods with the EU is experiencing declines in our exports of some key items, not thanks to Brexit but thanks to the net zero policies. Our largest exports to the EU have included oil, gas, and refined oil products, but the UK is set on closing down its oil and gasfields and has just shut two large refineries owing to dear energy and net zero bans. Export of diesel and petrol cars has also been an important contributor and that trade will stop by 2030 as all those new  cars are being banned in the UK. We should expect our export of goods to the EU to fall as a result. Meanwhile we should expect our imports from the EU to rise as we come become ever more dependent on them for our electricity and our food, whilst we will also import more vehicles from the EU and China who will fight for market share. The EU last year already accounted for 49% of our imports compared to 41% of our exports.

In 2024 our trade with the EU showed a major deficit of £97 bn whilst our trade with the rest of the world produced a healthy surplus of £53 bn. This shows the UK is not uncompetitive worldwide, but does have an unfair trade issue with the EU. They are reluctant to buy our services in the same quantities as elsewhere with language, legal and  protectionist barriers against us. They use their rules and continuing influence on us through the Northern Ireland Protocol, Windsor Framework and our reliance still on inherited EU law to allow them unfair advantage in food and farm products, to allow them a disproportionate share of our fish, and to give them a big advantage in exporting electricity to us.

So after Brexit our exports to non EU flourished, our imports from EU continued to expand and our overall trade rose substantially, contrary to all the forecasts from Remain. The tragedy is some of our exports to the EU are being hit and will be hit more by the government’s passion to throttle back the energy, oil products, and petrol and diesel cars that used to be important lines  for us to sell to the EU. It almost looks as if UK policy is designed to cut our exports to the EU to be able to claim Brexit did not work. Given the way government is deindustrialising us and making us a big energy importer, it is great news our liberated trade in services is now advancing rapidly and is providing most of the cash for us to be able to be import dependent on an unfriendly EU for much of our food and energy. We could change the damaging policies that bring that about, but lack the will or the ability to do so.

The PM and the Labour party claim  they have done well at foreign affairs whilst their domestic record is rated lowly by the voters. If only. Giving away  the crucial freehold of the Diego Garcia base was a disaster in the making. Giving in for a costly and unhelpful EU re set was bad for growth and UK taxpayers.

Nor has the UK advanced peace in the world. The UK has decided with its current government to side with the EU over central foreign policy issues when the US President is trying to negotiate peace in both Ukraine and the Middle East.

The decision to work with other allies to announce recognition of a Palestinian state which does not exist and which neither of the combatants in Gaza wants made peace negotiations by the US and Arab intermediaries more difficult.   The attempt to negotiate a coalition  of the willing to police a peace that does not exist in Ukraine was an irrelevance to the situation.

In Ukraine the UK has cut Russian oil and gas out of its own trade and placed wide ranging sanctions on other products. If the UK wants to help bring about a peace it needs  to get other European countries to do the same. Several  EU countries are helping fund the Russian war machine by buying Russian energy or derived products.Their statements of support and sympathy for Ukraine sound hollow given their trade conduct.

The UK has always spent more than the recommended NATO minimum on defence. It needs to help the US get other European members spending up, and now needs to make a big increase in its own to honour obligations and meet the new proposed targets.

France has sought to lead European efforts on Ukraine over the last year. France has  provided only small amounts of money and military aid to Ukraine,  much less  than Germany or the UK. The UK should put pressure on France to do more.

As we see in Moldova there is a struggle  against Russian expansion through elections  as well as a war against Russian aggression  in Ukraine. Russia sees it the other way round as their struggle against EU expansion. The EU needs to do more itself to deter Russia and to demonstrate it only expands when it has the support of the people in the candidate countries.The UK is in a better position like the US to be an honest broker for peace rather than an EU campaigner,

Labour made a few big promises which cut through with voters and are still popular with voters. Unfortunately instead of delivering them in every case the problem has got worse and they are further from target

1, Smash the gangs. Instead they watered down and repealed previous measures, to see a big surge in illegal arrivals by boat

2. Control inflation. They inherited it at 2% and have  helped it almost double. Big tax rises and some pay awards have forced up prices. They offered £300 off energy prices sometime this Parliament but have spent the first fifteen months paying ever dearer prices, pushing up the retail prices.

3 Help more people into decently paid  jobs. Instead unemployment has surged and vacancies fallen as their taxes on business and jibs hit home.

4 Build 1.5 m homes in five years, a third more than the previous government, In the first  fifteen months completions have fallen and are way below the target rate. They think more planning permissions will sort it, but builders have plenty of available permissions. They cannot find enough buyers or make enough profit.

5.Be the  fastest growing G 7 economy. We were in the first half of 2024 but since the  new government higher taxes and borrowings have slowed the economy badly.

6. End chaotic Ministerial resignations and misconduct. Instead we have seen plenty of departures and embarrassments including Deputy PM, political Ambassador to USA, Transport Secretary, Chief  of Staff to PM etc

7 Introduce financial stability and lower government borrowing rates. Instead we have seen substantial rises in 10 and 30 year interest rates despite base rate coming down a bit. There has been speculation about a debt crisis given the high levels of spending and borrowing.

8. Not put Income Tax, VAT or National Insurance up. They have decided to freeze Income Tax thresholds for longer so we pay more tax as inflation bites. They imposed a big hike in Employer National Insurance. They put up other taxes which have done damage and in some cases collected less revenue as a result.

The public wants the government to deliver on these eight pledges.They want a well run government avoiding tax rises, creating financial stability, growing the economy faster and getting borrowing costs down. They want to be able to afford a home of their own and want an end to mass migration.

They do not want digital ID, ever dearer energy and de industrialisation from extreme net zero policies.

When will we get any of those?